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相关论文: Two methods of estimation of the drift parameters …

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We study the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood for fast/slow systems of stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to shed light on the problem of model/data mismatch at small scales. We consider two classes of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-20 A. Papavasiliou , G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

We show that a substantial portion of stochastic calculus can be developed along similar lines to ordinary calculus, with derivative-based concepts driving the development. We define a notion of stopping derivative, which is a form of right…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-06 Alex Simpson

We consider the asymptotic consistency of maximum likelihood parameter estimation for dynamical systems observed with noise. Under suitable conditions on the dynamical systems and the observations, we show that maximum likelihood parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-01 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel , Natesh Pillai

We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

The global estimation problem of the drift function is considered for a large class of ergodic diffusion processes. The unknown drift $S(\cdot)$ is supposed to belong to a nonparametric class of smooth functions of order $k\geq1$, but the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Arnak Dalalyan

In this paper a drift-randomized Milstein method is introduced for the numerical solution of non-autonomous stochastic differential equations with non-differentiable drift coefficient functions. Compared to standard Milstein-type methods we…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-12-12 Raphael Kruse , Yue Wu

In this work, we consider a one-dimensional It{\^o} diffusion process X t with possibly nonlinear drift and diffusion coefficients. We show that, when the diffusion coefficient is known, the drift coefficient is uniquely determined by an…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-09-13 Michel Cristofol , Lionel Roques

This paper presents several situations leading to the observation of multiple correlated copies of a drifted process, and then non-asymptotic risk bounds are established on nonparametric estimators of the drift function $b_0$ and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Nicolas Marie

We consider the problem of asymptotically efficient estimation of drift parameters of the ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process under continuous observations when the Hurst parameter $H<1/2$ and the mean of its stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-12 Kohei Chiba , Tetsuya Takabatake

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We consider the problem of estimating unknown parameters in stochastic differential equations driven by colored noise, which we model as a sequence of Gaussian stationary processes with decreasing correlation time. We aim to infer…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-12-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Sebastian Reich , Andrea Zanoni

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Alejandra López-Pérez , Manuel Febrero-Bande , Wenceslao González-Manteiga

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process whose drift coefficient depends on unknown parameters. Considering the process discretely observed at high frequency, we prove the local asymptotic normality…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-26 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Ngoc Khue Tran

In this paper we present nonparametric estimators for coefficients in stochastic differential equation if the data are described by independent, identically distributed random variables. The problem is formulated as a nonlinear ill-posed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-11-18 Fabian Dunker , Thorsten Hohage

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

We consider the problem of efficient estimation of the drift parameter of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'{e}vy process when high-frequency observations are given. The estimator is constructed from the time-continuous…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-13 Hilmar Mai

We consider the problem of learning Stochastic Differential Equations of the form $dX_t = f(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_t)dW_t $ from one sample trajectory. This problem is more challenging than learning deterministic dynamical systems because one…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-28 Matthieu Darcy , Boumediene Hamzi , Giulia Livieri , Houman Owhadi , Peyman Tavallali

We study the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function for ergodic stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter H > 1/2. The estimator is based on the discretely observed stochastic…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

A parameter estimation problem for a class of semilinear stochastic evolution equations is considered. Conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are given in terms of growth and continuity properties of the nonlinear part.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-26 Gregor Pasemann , Wilhelm Stannat