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We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable L\'evy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-23 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

We investigate the problem of joint statistical estimation of several parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Based on discrete-time observations of the model, we construct an…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-10 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We consider the question of estimating the drift and the invariant density for a large class of scalar ergodic diffusion processes, based on continuous observations, in $\sup$-norm loss. The unknown drift $b$ is supposed to belong to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-03 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch

We present a method for the nonparametric estimation of the drift function of certain types of stochastic differential equations from the empirical density. It is based on a variational formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation. The…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-12-16 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-30 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

A Markov-switching observation-driven model is a stochastic process $((S_t,Y_t))_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ where $(S_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an unobserved Markov chain on a finite set and $(Y_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an observed stochastic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Frederik Krabbe

We consider a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (0, \frac12) \cup (\frac12, 1)$. Our goal is to estimate an unknown drift parameter $\alpha\in (-\infty,\infty)$ on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-24 Chihoon Lee , Jian Song

The characteristic feature of the discrete scale invariant (DSI) processes is the invariance of their finite dimensional distributions by dilation for certain scaling factor. DSI process with piecewise linear drift and stationary increments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-05 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah

This paper deals with the process $X = (X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ defined by the stochastic differential equation (SDE) $dX_t = (a(X_t) + b(Y_t))dt +\sigma(X_t)dW_1(t)$, where $W_1$ is a Brownian motion and $Y$ is an exogenous process. The first…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-09 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

In this study, we develop a stochastic optimal control approach with reinforcement learning structure to learn the unknown parameters appeared in the drift and diffusion terms of the stochastic differential equation. By choosing an…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-22 Shuzhen Yang

We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

The double Heston model is one of the most popular option pricing models in financial theory. It is applied to several issues such that risk management and volatility surface calibration. This paper deals with the problem of global…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-29 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Houssem Dahbi , Hamdi Fathallah

We demonstrate that the processes underlying on-line auction price bids and many other longitudinal data can be represented by an empirical first order stochastic ordinary differential equation with time-varying coefficients and a smooth…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-13 Hans-Georg Müller , Fang Yao

We propose a new splitting method for strong numerical solution of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model. For this method, applied over both deterministic and adaptive random meshes, we prove a uniform moment bound and strong error results of order…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-08 Cónall Kelly , Gabriel J. Lord

We study a stochastic control problem for nonlinear systems governed by stochastic differential equations with irregular drift. The drift coefficient is assumed to decompose as $b(t,x,a)=b_1(t,x)+b_2(x)b_3(t,a)$, where $b_1$ is bounded and…

We consider the problem of frequency estimation by observations of the periodic diffusion process possesing ergodic properties in two different situations. The first one corresponds to continuously differentiable with respect to parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-30 Reinhard Höpfner , Yury A Kutoyants

We consider inference of the parameters of the diffusion term for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross and similar processes with a power type dependence of the diffusion coefficient from the underlying process. We suggest some original pathwise estimates…

概率论 · 数学 2017-04-12 Nikolai Dokuchaev