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Lifted samplers form a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods which has drawn a lot attention in recent years due to superior performance in challenging Bayesian applications. A canonical example of lifted samplers is the one that is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire

We establish an ordering criterion for the asymptotic variances of two consistent Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimators: an importance sampling (IS) estimator, based on an approximate reversible chain and subsequent IS weighting, and a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Jordan Franks , Matti Vihola

Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are invaluable tools for exploring stationary properties of physical systems, especially in situations where direct sampling is unfeasible. Common implementations of Monte Carlo algorithms employ…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-27 Marija Vucelja

I show how any reversible Markov chain on a finite state space that is irreducible, and hence suitable for estimating expectations with respect to its invariant distribution, can be used to construct a non-reversible Markov chain on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Radford M. Neal

We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given distribution, NOT based on the standard Metropolis (Markov chain) strategy. It uses the fact that nontrivial problems in statistical physics are high dimensional and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 P. Grassberger

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of different data-augmentation-type Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms sampling from mixture models comprising discrete as well as continuous random variables. Of particular interest to us is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-04 Randal Douc , Florian Maire , Jimmy Olsson

Exact approximations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a general emerging class of sampling algorithms. One of the main ideas behind exact approximations consists of replacing intractable quantities required to run standard…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-30 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

We present a new statistical test to detect that a presented state of a reversible Markov chain was not chosen from a stationary distribution. In particular, given a value function for the states of the Markov chain, we would like to…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-08 Maria Chikina , Alan Frieze , Wesley Pegden

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given (Gibbs-Boltzmann or other) distribution. It is {\it not} based on the Metropolis concept of establishing a Markov process whose stationary state is the wanted…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 P. Grassberger , W. Nadler

Graded posets frequently arise throughout combinatorics, where it is natural to try to count the number of elements of a fixed rank. These counting problems are often $\#\textbf{P}$-complete, so we consider approximation algorithms for…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Prateek Bhakta , Ben Cousins , Matthew Fahrbach , Dana Randall

Let $G$ be a finite group and let $H$ be a subgroup of $G$. The left-invariant random walk driven by a probability measure $w$ on $G$ is the Markov chain in which from any state $x \in G$, the probability of stepping to $xg \in G$ is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-30 Edward Crane , Álvaro Gutiérrez , Erin Russell , Mark Wildon

We show that a family of random variables is uniformly integrable if and only if it is stochastically bounded in the increasing convex order by an integrable random variable. This result is complemented by proving analogous statements for…

概率论 · 数学 2011-06-06 Lasse Leskelä , Matti Vihola

Nested sampling is a simulation method for approximating marginal likelihoods proposed by Skilling (2006). We establish that nested sampling has an approximation error that vanishes at the standard Monte Carlo rate and that this error is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-10-11 Nicolas Chopin , Christian Robert

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

We study the usual stochastic order between probability measures on preordered topological abelian groups, focusing on asymptotic and catalytic versions of the order. In the asymptotic version, a measure $\mu$ dominates a measure $\nu$ if…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-02 Tobias Fritz

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes
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