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In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

In this note, we establish the convergence in distribution of the maxima of i.i.d. random variables to the Gumbel distribution with the associated normalizing sequences for several examples that are related to the normal distribution.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-29 Markus Bibinger

It will be discussed the statistics of the extreme values in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, it will be considered the results of numerical analyses concerning the return…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Cecilia Pennetta

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Maximum-type statistics of certain functions of the sample covariance matrix of high-dimensional vector time series are studied to statistically confirm or reject the null hypothesis that a data set has been collected under normal…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-13 Ansgar Steland

We discuss how an eigenvalue perturbation formula for transfer operators of dynamical systems is related to exponential hitting time distributions and extreme value theory for processes generated by chaotic dynamical systems. We also list a…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-01-16 Gerhard Keller

This study uses the link between extreme value laws and dynamical systems theory to show that important dynamical quantities as the correlation dimension, the entropy and the Lyapunov exponents can be obtained by fitting observables…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2018-05-23 Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti

Humans have recorded the arrival dates of migratory birds for millennia, searching for trends and patterns. As the first arrival among individuals in a species is the realized tail of the probability distribution of arrivals, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Dhanushi A. Wijeyakulasuriya , Ephraim M. Hanks , Benjamin A. Shaby

The statistics of the slowest first-passage time among a large population of $N$ searchers is crucial for determining the completion time of many stochastic processes. Classical extreme-value theory predicts that for diffusing particles in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-12-24 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

We apply the Principle of Maximum Entropy to the study of a general class of deterministic fractal sets. The scaling laws peculiar to these objects are accounted for by means of a constraint concerning the average content of information in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 R. Pastor-Satorras , J. Wagensberg

The extreme value statistics of active matter offer significant insight into their unique properties. A phase transition has recently been reported in a model of branching run-and-tumble particles, describing the spatial spreading of an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-06-11 Bertrand Lacroix-A-Chez-Toine , Asaf Miron

We study the finite-size scaling of the roughness of signals in systems displaying Gaussian 1/f power spectra. It is found that one of the extreme value distributions (Gumbel distribution) emerges as the scaling function when the boundary…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 T. Antal , M. Droz , G. Gyorgyi , Z. Racz

We consider stationary sequences whose marginal tail is subexponential and lies in the Gumbel Maximum domain of attraction. Due to the extremely strong dependence, their extreme values are caused by multiple big values and are clustered in…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-08 Zao-Li Chen

We study the extreme value distribution of stochastic processes modeled by superstatistics. Classical extreme value theory asserts that (under mild asymptotic independence assumptions) only three possible limit distributions are possible,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Pau Rabassa , Christian Beck

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

We investigate extreme values of Mahonian and Eulerian distributions arising from counting inversions and descents of random elements of finite Coxeter groups. To this end, we construct a triangular array of either distribution from a…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-05-29 Philip Dörr , Thomas Kahle

We study non-stationary stochastic processes arising from sequential dynamical systems built on maps with a neutral fixed points and prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for such processes. We use an approach developed in \cite{FFV16},…

We show that the probability of appearance of synchronisation in chaotic coupled map lattices is related to the distribution of the maximum of a certain observable evaluated along almost all orbit. We show that such distribution belongs to…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-04-10 D. Faranda , H. Ghoudi , P. Guiraud , S. Vaienti

The extremal characteristics of random structures, including trees, graphs, and networks, are discussed. A statistical physics approach is employed in which extremal properties are obtained through suitably defined rate equations. A variety…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

A simple estimator for the finite right endpoint of a distribution function in the Gumbel max-domain of attraction is proposed. Large sample properties such as consistency and the asymptotic distribution are derived. A simulation study is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-16 Isabel Fraga Alves , Cláudia Neves