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The two popular systemic risk measures CoVaR (Conditional Value-at-Risk) and CoES (Conditional Expected Shortfall) have recently been receiving growing attention on applications in economics and finance. In this paper, we study the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Qingzhao Zhong

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

We consider the problem of stochastic convex optimization under convex constraints. We analyze the behavior of a natural variance reduced proximal gradient (VRPG) algorithm for this problem. Our main result is a non-asymptotic guarantee for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-02 Koulik Khamaru

The asymptotic optimality (a.o.) of various hyper-parameter estimators with different optimality criteria has been studied in the literature for regularized least squares regression problems. The estimators include e.g., the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-28 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

It has been shown that AIC-type criteria are asymptotically efficient selectors of the tuning parameter in non-concave penalized regression methods under the assumption that the population variance is known or that a consistent estimator is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-03-02 Cheryl J. Flynn , Clifford M. Hurvich , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

The theme of the present paper is numerical integration of $C^r$ functions using randomized methods. We consider variance reduction methods that consist in two steps. First the initial interval is partitioned into subintervals and the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-21 Leszek Plaskota , Paweł Przybyłowicz , Łukasz Stępień

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a key method used in statistical learning. Recently, its non-asymptotic convergence analysis has been considered in many papers. However, most of the prior analyses are made under restrictive assumptions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Belhal Karimi , Blazej Miasojedow , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

In this paper, we consider the interference rejection combining (IRC) receiver, which improves the cell-edge user throughput via suppressing inter-cell interference and requires estimating the covariance matrix including the inter-cell…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Jing Qian , Juening Jin , Hao Wang

We present safe control of partially-observed linear time-varying systems in the presence of unknown and unpredictable process and measurement noise. We introduce a control algorithm that minimizes dynamic regret, i.e., that minimizes the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-03 Hongyu Zhou , Vasileios Tzoumas

In this paper, we study nonparametric estimation of instrumental variable (IV) regressions. While recent advancements in machine learning have introduced flexible methods for IV estimation, they often encounter one or more of the following…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-08 Zihao Li , Hui Lan , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Mengdi Wang , Masatoshi Uehara

Online system identification algorithms are widely used for monitoring, diagnostics and control by continuously adapting to time-varying dynamics. Typically, these algorithms consider a model structure that lacks parsimony and offers…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-28 Koen Classens , Rodrigo A. González , Tom Oomen

Leveraging external or historical data to improve the efficiency of randomized clinical trials without introducing bias or inflating the Type I error rate remains challenging. Recent work on externally trained prognostic scores, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Junyi Zhou , Qing Liu , May Mo , Amy Xia

We propose and analyze a stabilizing iteration scheme for the algorithmic implementation of model predictive control for linear discrete-time systems. Polytopic input and state constraints are considered and handled by means of so-called…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-07 Christian Feller , Christian Ebenbauer

We propose a statistical framework for the problem of parameter estimation from a noisy optomechanical system. The Cram\'er-Rao lower bound on the estimation errors in the long-time limit is derived and compared with the errors of…

光学 · 物理学 2013-10-31 Shan Zheng Ang , Glen I. Harris , Warwick P. Bowen , Mankei Tsang

We study the quadratic prediction error method -- i.e., nonlinear least squares -- for a class of time-varying parametric predictor models satisfying a certain identifiability condition. While this method is known to asymptotically achieve…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-17 Charis Stamouli , Ingvar Ziemann , George J. Pappas

In the context of precision medicine, covariate-adjusted response-adaptive randomization (CARA) has garnered much attention from both academia and industry due to its benefits in providing ethical and tailored treatment assignments based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Jiahui Xin , Wei Ma

We present a finite-time framework for identifying stable and unstable linear time-invariant (LTI) systems from a single closed-loop input-output trajectory. The method does not require knowledge of the stabilizing controller, an…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-26 Ahmad Al-Tawaha , Ming Jin , Khaled F. Aljanaideh

We study a stochastic optimization problem in which the sampling distribution depends on the decision variable, and the available samples are generated through an iterate-dependent Markov chain. Such settings arise naturally in problems…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-18 Anik Kumar Paul , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Sparse linear arrays, such as co-prime arrays and nested arrays, have the attractive capability of providing enhanced degrees of freedom. By exploiting the coarray structure, an augmented sample covariance matrix can be constructed and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-12-15 Mianzhi Wang , Arye Nehorai

We present a continuous-time probabilistic approach for estimating the chirp signal and its instantaneous frequency function when the true forms of these functions are not accessible. Our model represents these functions by non-linearly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä , Jens Sjölund , Thomas B. Schön