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Risk sensitive decision making finds important applications in current day use cases. Existing risk measures consider a single or finite collection of random variables, which do not account for the asymptotic behaviour of underlying…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-05-24 Shivam Patel , Vivek Borkar

Existing online continuous-time parameter estimation laws provide exact (asymptotic/exponential or finite/fixed time) identification of dynamical linear/nonlinear systems parameters only if the external perturbations are equaled to zero or…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-08 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra

In continuous-time system identification, the intersample behavior of the input signal is known to play a crucial role in the performance of estimation methods. One common input behavior assumption is that the spectrum of the input is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-22 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson

To achieve the joint active and passive beamforming gains in the reconfigurable intelligent surface assisted millimeter wave system, the reflected cascade channel needs to be accurately estimated. Many strategies have been proposed in the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Yiming Liu , Erwu Liu , Rui Wang , Zhu Han , Binyu Lu

The Bayesian Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB) provides a lower bound on the mean square error of any Bayesian estimator under mild regularity conditions. It can be used to benchmark the performance of statistical estimators, and provides a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Evan Scope Crafts , Xianyang Zhang , Bo Zhao

We revisit the problem of computing submatrices of the Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB), which lower bounds the variance of any unbiased estimator of a vector parameter $\vth$. We explore iterative methods that avoid direct inversion of the Fisher…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-04 Paul Tune

In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

We consider noisy non-synchronous discrete observations of a continuous semimartingale with random volatility. Functional stable central limit theorems are established under high-frequency asymptotics in three setups: one-dimensional for…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-28 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Bibinger

The estimation of the frequencies of multiple superimposed exponentials in noise is an important research problem due to its various applications from engineering to chemistry. In this paper, we propose an efficient and accurate algorithm…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-05-05 Shanglin Ye , Elias Aboutanios

The Pickands estimator for the extreme value index is beneficial due to its universal consistency, location, and scale invariance, which sets it apart from other types of estimators. However, similar to many extreme value index estimators,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-29 Yizhou Li , Pawel Polak

Asymptotic lower bounds for estimation play a fundamental role in assessing the quality of statistical procedures. In this paper we propose a framework for obtaining semi-parametric efficiency bounds for sparse high-dimensional models,…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-16 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

In compressed sensing, measurements are typically contaminated by additive noise, and therefore, information about the noise variance is often needed to design algorithms. In this paper, we propose a method for estimating the unknown noise…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-24 Ryo Hayakawa

This work explores the trade-off between the number of samples required to accurately build models of dynamical systems and the degradation of performance in various control objectives due to a coarse approximation. In particular, we show…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-12-01 Stephen Tu , Ross Boczar , Andrew Packard , Benjamin Recht

This paper addresses the real-time state estimation problem for dynamic systems while protecting exogenous inputs against adversaries, who may be honest-but-curious third parties or external eavesdroppers. The Cram\'er-Rao lower bound…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-10 Liping Guo , Jimin Wang , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

We study the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) in adaptive experiments where treatment can only be encouraged -- rather than directly assigned -- via a binary instrumental variable. Building on semiparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Miruna Oprescu , Brian M Cho , Nathan Kallus

The Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB), a well-known lower bound on the performance of any unbiased parameter estimator, has been used to study a wide variety of problems. However, to obtain the CRB, requires an analytical expression for the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Hai Victor Habi , Hagit Messer , Yoram Bresler

The drift sequential parameter estimation problems for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes under the limited duration of observation are studied. Truncated sequential estimation methods for both scalar and {two}-dimensional parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-08 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Thi-Bao Trâm Ngô , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We consider continuous-time stochastic optimal control problems featuring Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in the objective. The major difficulty in these problems arises from time-inconsistency, which prevents us from directly using…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-05-27 Christopher W. Miller , Insoon Yang

Ergodic properties and asymptotic stationarity are investigated in this paper for the pseudo-covariance matrix (PCM) of a recursive state estimator which is robust against parametric uncertainties and is based on plant output measurements…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-10-12 Tong Zhou