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Since the 1990s, widespread introduction of central (wholesale) electricity markets has been seen across multiple continents, driven by the search for efficient operation of the power grid through competition. The increase of renewables has…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-15 Pål Forr Austnes , Matthieu Jacobs , Lu Wang , Mario Paolone

Uncertainty quantification in forecasting represents a topic of great importance in energy trading, as understanding the status of the energy market would enable traders to directly evaluate the impact of their own offers/bids. To this end,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-17 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

Intra-day price spreads are of interest to electricity traders, storage and electric vehicle operators. This paper formulates dynamic density functions, based upon skewed-t and similar representations, to model and forecast the German…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Ekaterina Abramova , Derek Bunn

In order to deal with market power that sporadically results from contingencies (e.g., severe weather, plant outages) most electricity markets have institutions in charge of monitoring market performance and mitigating market power. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-07 Shi Pu , Alfredo Garcia

This paper presents a new dynamic pricing model (a.k.a. real-time pricing) that reflects startup costs of generators. Dynamic pricing, which is a method to control demand by pricing electricity at hourly (or more often) intervals, has been…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-03-06 Naoki Ito , Akiko Takeda , Toru Namerikawa

This paper proposes an optimal strategy for a Renewable Energy Community participating in the Italian pay-as-bid ancillary service market. The community is composed by a group of residential customers sharing a common facility equipped with…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-22 F. Conte , S. Massucco , G. Natrella , M. Saviozzi , F. Silvestro

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

According to the fundamental theorems of welfare economics, any competitive equilibrium is Pareto efficient. Unfortunately, competitive equilibrium prices only exist under strong assumptions such as perfectly divisible goods and convex…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-05-24 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Johannes Knörr

Retailers and major consumers of electricity generally purchase an important percentage of their estimated electricity needs years ahead in the forward market. This long-term electricity procurement task consists of determining when to buy…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-06-06 Thibaut Théate , Sébastien Mathieu , Damien Ernst

Bidders in day-ahead electricity markets want to sell/buy electricity when their bids generate positive surplus and not to take an action when the reverse holds. However, non-convexities in these markets cause conflicts between the actions…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2017-12-04 Gökhan Ceyhan , Nermin Elif Kurt , H. Bahadir Sahin , Kürşad Derinkuyu

In the Paris agreement of 2015, it was decided to reduce the CO2 emissions of the energy sector to zero by 2050 and to restrict the global mean temperature increase to 1.5 degree Celcius above the pre-industrial level. Such commitments are…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-03 Neeraj Bokde , Bo Tranberg , Gorm Bruun Andresen

This paper deals with the market-bidding problem of a cluster of price-responsive consumers of electricity. We develop an inverse optimization scheme that, recast as a bilevel programming problem, uses price-consumption data to estimate the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-04 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales , Marco Zugno , Henrik Madsen

Short-term electricity markets are becoming more relevant due to less-predictable renewable energy sources, attracting considerable attention from the industry. The balancing market is the closest to real-time and the most volatile among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Ciaran O'Connor , Joseph Collins , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

In recent years, there has been a significant focus on advancing the next generation of power systems. Despite these efforts, persistent challenges revolve around addressing the operational impact of uncertainty on predicted data,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-15 Hien Thanh Doan , Minsoo Kim , Keunju Song , Hongseok Kim

The availability of historical data related to electricity day-ahead prices and to the underlying price formation process is limited. In addition, the electricity market in Europe is facing a rapid transformation, which limits the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Raffaele Sgarlato

This paper develops a coupled model for day-ahead electricity prices and average daily temperature which allows to model quanto weather and energy derivatives. These products have gained on popularity as they enable to hedge against both…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-04-22 Aurélien Alfonsi , Nerea Vadillo

Probabilistic forecasting in combination with stochastic programming is a key tool for handling the growing uncertainties in future energy systems. Derived from a general stochastic programming formulation for the optimal scheduling and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-25 Mario Beykirch , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

An optimal scheduling model for a microgrid participating in the electricity distribution market in interaction with a Distribution Market Operator (DMO) is proposed in this paper. The DMO administers the established electricity market in…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Sina Parhizi , Amin Khodaei , Mohammad Shahidehpour

This paper proposes a market mechanism for multi-interval electricity markets with generator and storage participants. Drawing ideas from supply function bidding, we introduce a novel bid structure for storage participation that allows…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-18 Rajni Kant Bansal , Pengcheng You , Dennice F. Gayme , Enrique Mallada

Electricity is typically traded in day-ahead auctions because many power system decisions, such as unit commitment, must be made in advance. However, when wind and solar generators sell power one day ahead, they face uncertainty about their…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-16 Thomas Hübner