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We argue that deterministic market clearing formulations introduce arbitrary distortions between day-ahead and expected real-time prices that bias economic incentives and block diversification. We extend and analyze the stochastic clearing…

经济学 · 定量金融 2015-11-27 Victor M. Zavala , Kibaek Kim , Mihai Anitescu , John Birge

Modeling the trading volume curves of financial instruments throughout the day is of key interest in financial trading applications. Predictions of these so-called volume profiles guide trade execution strategies, for example, a common…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-01 Creighton Heaukulani , Abhinav Pandey , Lancelot F. James

Studies looking at electricity market designs for very high shares of wind and solar often conclude that the energy-only market will break down. Without fuel costs, it is said that there is nothing to set prices. Symptoms of breakdown…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-29 Tom Brown , Fabian Neumann , Iegor Riepin

This review presents the set of electricity price models proposed in the literature since the opening of power markets. We focus on price models applied to financial pricing and risk management. We classify these models according to their…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-30 Thomas Deschatre , Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet

We consider the setting in which an electric power utility seeks to curtail its peak electricity demand by offering a fixed group of customers a uniform price for reductions in consumption relative to their predetermined baselines. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-20 Kia Khezeli , Eilyan Bitar

In the following paper, we analyse the ID$_3$-Price in the German Intraday Continuous electricity market using an econometric time series model. A multivariate approach is conducted for hourly and quarter-hourly products separately. We…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-01 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

Electricity supply is not simply a matter of quantity, but a time lasting service that matches with a wave-like load curve. It logically deserves a pricing based on the curve per se rather than simply integral of load. This paper introduces…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-02 Jinghuan Ma , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

We consider the problem of optimal bidding for virtual trading in two-settlement electricity markets. A virtual trader aims to arbitrage on the differences between day-ahead and real-time market prices; both prices, however, are random and…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-08-02 Sevi Baltaoglu , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

The reliable estimation of forecast uncertainties is crucial for risk-sensitive optimal decision making. In this paper, we propose implicit generative ensemble post-processing, a novel framework for multivariate probabilistic electricity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-16 Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

There is growing interest in the use of grid-level storage to smooth variations in supply that are likely to arise with increased use of wind and solar energy. Energy arbitrage, the process of buying, storing, and selling electricity to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-01 Daniel R. Jiang , Warren B. Powell

This paper focuses on the operation of an electricity market that accounts for participants that bid at a sub-minute timescale. To that end, we model the market-clearing process as a dynamical system, called market dynamics, which is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-14 Pengcheng You , Yan Jiang , Enoch Yeung , Dennice F. Gayme , Enrique Mallada

Frequency dynamics in power systems reflect active power imbalance in real time, thereby providing an instantaneous signal to inform electricity pricing. However, existing real-time markets operate on much slower timescales and fail to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-14 Xinwei Liu , Vladimir Dvorkin

In the restructured electricity industry, electricity pooling markets are an oligopoly with strategic producers possessing private information (private production cost function). We focus on pooling markets where aggregate demand is…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-01-20 Mohammad Rasouli , Demosthenis Teneketzis

Virtual bidding plays an important role in two-settlement electric power markets, as it can reduce discrepancies between day-ahead and real-time markets. Renewable energy penetration increases volatility in electricity prices, making…

Renewable electricity generation has grown significantly across many European power systems, leading to a greener energy mix, but also additional complexity in balancing electricity supply and demand. Unexpected differences between…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Arnaud Verstraeten , Maria Margarida Mascarenhas , Hussain Kazmi

Electric demand and renewable power are highly variable, and the solution of a planning model relies on capturing this variability. This paper proposes a hybrid multi-area method that effectively captures both the intraday and interday…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-25 Mojtaba Moradi-Sepahvand , Simon H. Tindemans

We study the structure of locational marginal prices in day-ahead and real-time wholesale electricity markets. In particular, we consider the case of two North American markets and show that the price correlations contain information on the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-13 Tianyu Cui , Francesco Caravelli , Cozmin Ududec

This paper proposes two decentralised, secure and privacy-friendly protocols for local electricity trading and billing, respectively. The trading protocol employs a bidding algorithm based upon secure multiparty computations and allows…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-01-26 Aysajan Abidin , Abdelrahaman Aly , Sara Cleemput , Mustafa A. Mustafa

In the restructured electricity industry, electricity pooling markets are an oligopoly with strategic producers possessing private information (private production cost function). We focus on pooling markets where aggregate demand is…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-10-07 Mohammad Rasouli , Demosthenis Teneketzis

Continuous intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in short-term trading and balancing, yet decision-making under rapidly evolving price dynamics remains challenging. This paper proposes a comprehensive framework…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Andrzej Puć , Joanna Janczura