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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) produces a correlated sample for estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop so that we have good estimates of the desired quantities?…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-02 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-01-29 Christian Laudagé , Ivica Turkalj

We present a direct data-driven approach to synthesize robust control invariant (RCI) sets and their associated gain-scheduled feedback control laws for linear parameter-varying (LPV) systems subjected to bounded disturbances. A data-set…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-06 Manas Mejari , Ankit Gupta , Dario Piga

Risk measure forecast and model have been developed in order to not only provide better forecast but also preserve its (empirical) property especially coherent property. Whilst the widely used risk measure of Value-at-Risk (VaR) has shown…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-09-08 Bony Josaphat , Khreshna Syuhada

The nature and complexity of software have changed significantly in the last few decades. With the easy availability of computing power, deeper and broader applications are made. It has been extremely necessary to produce good quality…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2012-05-30 Bandla Srinivasa Rao , R. Satya Prasad , R. R. L. Kantham

Investigating the problem of setting control limits in the case of parameter uncertainty is more accessible when monitoring the variance because only one parameter has to be estimated. Simply ignoring the induced uncertainty frequently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-19 Sven Knoth

Conditional risk measures and their associated risk contribution measures are commonly employed in finance and actuarial science for evaluating systemic risk and quantifying the effects of risk interactions. This paper introduces various…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-01 Limin Wen , Junxue Li , Tong Pu , Yiying Zhang

For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

A plethora of static and dynamic models exist to forecast Value-at-Risk and other quantile-related metrics used in financial risk management. Industry practice tends to favour simpler, static models such as historical simulation or its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Carol Alexander , Yang Han

Kernel-based multivariate statistical process control (K-MSPC) extends classical monitoring to nonlinear industrial processes. Its performance depends critically on kernel parameters such as lengthscales and variance terms. In current…

We analyze the properties of degree-preserving Markov chains based on elementary edge switchings in undirected and directed graphs. We give exact yet simple formulas for the mobility of a graph (the number of possible moves) in terms of its…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2012-03-12 E. S. Roberts , A. Annibale , A. C. C. Coolen

In this note, we revisit the $g$ and $h$ control charts that are commonly used for monitoring the number of conforming cases between the two consecutive appearances of nonconformities. It is known that the process parameter of these charts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-25 Chanseok Park , Min Wang

Modern data collecting methods and computation tools have made it possible to monitor high-dimensional processes. In this article, Phase II monitoring of high-dimensional processes is investigated when the available number of samples…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Mohsen Ebadi , Shojaeddin Chenouri , Stefan H. Steiner

This paper concerns the risk-aware control of stochastic systems with temporal logic specifications dynamically assigned during runtime. Conventional risk-aware control typically assumes that all specifications are predefined and remain…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-01 Maico H. W. Engelaar , Zengjie Zhang , Mircea Lazar , Sofie Haesaert

This paper proposes a control chart for monitoring percentiles of a process that follows a truncated beta distribution, utilizing a studentized parametric bootstrap method to account for the case when in-control parameters are unknown. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-01 Bidhan Modok , Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury

The knowledge of transitions between regular, laminar or chaotic behavior is essential to understand the underlying mechanisms behind complex systems. While several linear approaches are often insufficient to describe such processes, there…

医学物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 N. Marwan , N. Wessel , U. Meyerfeldt , A. Schirdewan , J. Kurths

We study a variance reduction strategy based on control variables for simulating the averaged macroscopic behavior of a stochastic slow-fast system. We assume that this averaged behavior can be written in terms of a few slow degrees of…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-09-16 Ward Melis , Giovanni Samaey

In the domain of rotating machinery, bearings are vulnerable to different mechanical faults, including ball, inner, and outer race faults. Various techniques can be used in condition-based monitoring, from classical signal analysis to deep…

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

When in a digital control strategy there are samples lost due to limitations, diff t multirate (MR) control options can be used for solving the problem: Dual-rate inferential control (IC) and model-based dual-rate control (MBDR). The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-19 J. Salt , J. Alcaina , A. Cuenca , A. Banyos