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We study Bayesian posterior consistency in parametric density models with proper priors, challenging the perception that the problem is settled. Classical results established consistency via MLE convergence under regularity and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Nicola Bariletto , Bernardo Flores , Stephen G. Walker

While mixtures of Gaussian distributions have been studied for more than a century (Pearson, 1894), the construction of a reference Bayesian analysis of those models still remains unsolved, with a general prohibition of the usage of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-01 Kaniav Kamary , Jeong Eun Lee , Christian P. Robert

In pragmatic cluster randomized controlled trials (PCRCTs), healthcare providers are randomized while both providers and patients may deviate from the assigned intervention. In many PCRCTs, cluster-level implementation is measured using…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Anthony Sisti , Ellen McCreedy , Roee Gutman

We introduce a Poissonization method to study the coalescent structure of uniform samples from branching processes. This method relies on the simple observation that a uniform sample of size $k$ taken from a random set with positive…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-24 Samuel G. G. Johnston , Amaury Lambert

In this paper, we first study the fundamental limit of clustering networks when a multi-layer network is present. Under the mixture multi-layer stochastic block model (MMSBM), we show that the minimax optimal network clustering error rate,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Zhongyuan Lyu , Ting Li , Dong Xia

In classical random matrix theory the Gaussian and chiral Gaussian random matrix models with a source are realized as shifted mean Gaussian, and chiral Gaussian, random matrices with real $(\beta = 1)$, complex ($\beta = 2)$ and real…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-16 Peter J. Forrester

Mixture models are a popular tool in model-based clustering. Such a model is often fitted by a procedure that maximizes the likelihood, such as the EM algorithm. At convergence, the maximum likelihood parameter estimates are typically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Adrian O'Hagan , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Luca Scrucca , Isobel Claire Gormley

Dropout, a stochastic regularisation technique for training of neural networks, has recently been reinterpreted as a specific type of approximate inference algorithm for Bayesian neural networks. The main contribution of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-06 Jiri Hron , Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

Consider the random quadratic form $T_n=\sum_{1 \leq u < v \leq n} a_{uv} X_u X_v$, where $((a_{uv}))_{1 \leq u, v \leq n}$ is a $\{0, 1\}$-valued symmetric matrix with zeros on the diagonal, and $X_1,$ $X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-30 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Somabha Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee

Recently, metric learning and similarity learning have attracted a large amount of interest. Many models and optimisation algorithms have been proposed. However, there is relatively little work on the generalization analysis of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-03-19 Qiong Cao , Zheng-Chu Guo , Yiming Ying

Let $(x_{i}, y_{i})_{i=1,\dots,n}$ denote independent samples from a general mixture distribution $\sum_{c\in\mathcal{C}}\rho_{c}P_{c}^{x}$, and consider the hypothesis class of generalized linear models $\hat{y} = F(\Theta^{\top}x)$. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-22 Yatin Dandi , Ludovic Stephan , Florent Krzakala , Bruno Loureiro , Lenka Zdeborová

There is a rich literature on Bayesian methods for density estimation, which characterize the unknown density as a mixture of kernels. Such methods have advantages in terms of providing uncertainty quantification in estimation, while being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-10 Shounak Chattopadhyay , Antik Chakraborty , David B. Dunson

We present a machine learning model for the analysis of randomly generated discrete signals, modeled as the points of an inhomogeneous, compound Poisson point process. Like the wavelet scattering transform introduced by Mallat, our…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-12 Michael Perlmutter , Jieqian He , Matthew Hirn

Shape restriction, like monotonicity or convexity, imposed on a function of interest, such as a regression or density function, allows for its estimation without smoothness assumptions. The concept of $k$-monotonicity encompasses a family…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-09 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Relational models generalize log-linear models to arbitrary discrete sample spaces by specifying effects associated with any subsets of their cells. A relational model may include an overall effect, pertaining to every cell after a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-17 Anna Klimova , Tamás Rudas

We derive information-theoretic lower bounds on the Bayes risk and generalization error of realizable machine learning models. In particular, we employ an analysis in which the rate-distortion function of the model parameters bounds the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Matthew Nokleby , Ahmad Beirami

Bayesian networks are now being used in enormous fields, for example, diagnosis of a system, data mining, clustering and so on. In spite of their wide range of applications, the statistical properties have not yet been clarified, because…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Keisuke Yamazaki , Sumio Watanbe

We examine a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a strictly increasing sequence of numbers and we prove its Poisson-like limit. Such generalizations might be found in quantum optics with imperfect detection. We…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

We introduce a new generalization of relative entropy to non-negative vectors with sums $\gt 1$. We show in a purely combinatorial setting, with no probabilistic considerations, that in the presence of linear constraints defining a convex…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-05-08 Kostas N. Oikonomou

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin