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We consider the problem of hedging a European interest rate contingent claim with a portfolio of zero-coupon bonds and show that an HJM type Markovian model driven by an infinite number of sources of randomness does not have some of the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Rene Carmona , Michael Tehranchi

This paper develops a new dual approach to compute the hedging portfolio of a Bermudan option and its initial value. It gives a "purely dual" algorithm following the spirit of Rogers (2010) in the sense that it only relies on the dual…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-18 Aurélien Alfonsi , Ahmed Kebaier , Jérôme Lelong

This paper introduces a no-arbitrage, Monte Carlo-free approach to pricing path-dependent interest rate derivatives. The Heath-Jarrow-Morton model gives arbitrage-free contingent claims prices but is infinite-dimensional, making traditional…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-16 Kevin Mott

We introduce forward-backward stochastic differential equations, highlighting the connection between solutions of these and solutions of partial differential equations, related by the Feynman-Kac theorem. We review the technique of…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-18 Oliver Sheridan-Methven

This article is the second one in a series on the use of scaling invariance in finance. In the first article (cond-mat/9906048), we introduced a new formalism for the pricing of derivative securities, which focusses on tradable objects…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jiri Hoogland , Dimitri Neumann

In a discrete-time market, we study model-independent superhedging, while the semi-static superhedging portfolio consists of {\it three} parts: static positions in liquidly traded vanilla calls, static positions in other tradable, yet…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-06-16 Arash Fahim , Yu-Jui Huang

We study the problem of reducing the variance of Monte Carlo estimators through performing suitable changes of the sampling measure which are induced by feedforward neural networks. To this end, building on the concept of vector stochastic…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-05 Aleksandar Arandjelović , Thorsten Rheinländer , Pavel V. Shevchenko

The paper develops general, discrete, non-probabilistic market models and minmax price bounds leading to price intervals for European options. The approach provides the trajectory based analogue of martingale-like properties as well as a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-11-06 Sebastian E. Ferrando , Alfredo L. Gonzalez , Ivan L. Degano , Massoome Rahsepar

Convergence (virtual) bidding is an important part of two-settlement electric power markets as it can effectively reduce discrepancies between the day-ahead and real-time markets. Consequently, there is extensive research into the bidding…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-09 Letif Mones , Sean Lovett

The use of sequential Monte Carlo within simulation for path-dependent option pricing is proposed and evaluated. Recently, it was shown that explicit solutions and importance sampling are valuable for efficient simulation of spot price and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-13 Michael A. Kouritzin , Anne MacKay

Managing and hedging the risks associated with Variable Annuity (VA) products require intraday valuation of key risk metrics for these products. The complex structure of VA products and computational complexity of their accurate evaluation…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-06-28 Seyed Amir Hejazi , Kenneth R. Jackson

This paper studies pricing of weather-derivative (WD) contracts on temperature and precipitation. For temperature-linked strangles in Toronto and Chicago, we benchmark a harmonic-regression/ARMA model against a feed-forward neural network…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-06 Marco Hening Tallarico , Pablo Olivares

This paper proposes a flexible and analytically tractable class of frequency and severity models for predicting insurance claims. The proposed model is able to capture nonlinear relationships in explanatory variables by characterizing the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-01 Dong-Young Lim

Bidding in real-time auctions can be a difficult stochastic control task; especially if underdelivery incurs strong penalties and the market is very uncertain. Most current works and implementations focus on optimally delivering a campaign…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-15 Nicolas Grislain , Nicolas Perrin , Antoine Thabault

We show that under some widely believed assumptions, there are no higher-order algorithms for basic tasks in computational mathematics such as: Computing integrals with neural network integrands, computing solutions of a Poisson equation…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-05-26 Michael Feischl , Fabian Zehetgruber

In this paper we provide a quantitative analysis to the concept of arbitrage, that allows to deal with model uncertainty without imposing the no-arbitrage condition. In markets that admit ``small arbitrage", we can still make sense of the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-05 Beatrice Acciaio , Julio Backhoff , Gudmund Pammer

Pricing advanced data products - particularly in complex fields such as semiconductor manufacturing - is a fundamentally challenging task due to the sparsity of publicly available transaction data, and its frequent heterogeneity and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-03 Adam L. Siemiatkowski , Victor Zhirnov , Kashyap Yellai , Gabriella Bein , Terresa Zimmerman

We propose a deep learning approach to study the minimal variance pricing and hedging problem in an incomplete jump diffusion market. It is based upon a rigorous stochastic calculus derivation of the optimal hedging portfolio, optimal…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-19 Nacira Agram , Bernt Øksendal , Jan Rems

Whether stochastic or parametric, the Pareto/NBD model can only be utilized for an in-sample prediction rather than an out-of-sample prediction. This research thus provides a neural network based extension of the Pareto/NBD model to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-06 Shao-Ming Xie

This paper is devoted to a study of robust fundamental theorems of asset pricing in discrete time and finite horizon settings. Uncertainty is modelled by a (possibly uncountable) family of price processes on the same probability space. Our…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-04 Huy N. Chau