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Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

In this article we consider the problem of pricing and hedging high-dimensional Asian basket options by Quasi-Monte Carlo simulation. We assume a Black-Scholes market with time-dependent volatilities and show how to compute the deltas by…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-06-29 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Piergiacomo Sabino

In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-06-12 Lorenzo Torricelli

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

We present a machine learning approach for finding minimal equivalent martingale measures for markets simulators of tradable instruments, e.g. for a spot price and options written on the same underlying. We extend our results to markets…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-13 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Finding the hedge ratios for a portfolio and risk compression is the same mathematical problem. Traditionally, regression is used for this purpose. However, regression has its own limitations. For example, in a regression model, we can't…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-05-09 Ali Shirazi , Fereshteh Sadeghi Naieni Fard

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

The aim of this study is to devise numerical methods for dealing with very high-dimensional Bermudan-style derivatives. For such problems, we quickly see that we can at best hope for price bounds, and we can only use a simulation approach.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-01-06 L. C. G. Rogers

This study investigates the application of machine learning algorithms, particularly in the context of pricing American options using Monte Carlo simulations. Traditional models, such as the Black-Scholes-Merton framework, often fail to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-06 Prudence Djagba , Callixte Ndizihiwe

We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

In this study, we propose a novel model framework that integrates deep neural networks with the Ridgelet Transform. The Ridgelet Transform on Borel measurable functions is used for arbitrage detection on high-dimensional sparse structures.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-14 Bahadur Yadav , Sanjay Kumar Mohanty

The classical discrete time model of proportional transaction costs relies on the assumption that a feasible portfolio process has solvent increments at each step. We extend this setting in two directions, allowing for convex transaction…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-15 Emmanuel Lepinette , Ilya Molchanov

Typically options with a path dependent payoff, such as Target Accumulation Redemption Note (TARN), are evaluated by a Monte Carlo method. This paper describes a finite difference scheme for pricing a TARN option. Key steps in the proposed…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-12 Xiaolin Luo , Pavel Shevchenko

We propose two parametric approaches to evaluate swing contracts with firm constraints. Our objective is to define approximations for the optimal control, which represents the amounts of energy purchased throughout the contract. The first…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-13 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Christian Yeo

Pricing of exotic financial derivatives, such as Asian and multi-asset American basket options, poses significant challenges for standard numerical methods such as binomial trees or Monte Carlo methods. While the former often scales…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-26 Maarten van Damme , Rishi Sreedhar , Martin Ganahl

We propose a scalable and theoretically grounded low-rank conditional expectation model for recursive Monte Carlo optimal stopping problems, in particular American option pricing. Our method reformulates the estimation of continuation…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-08 Michael Multerer , Paul Schneider , Chiara Segala

A derivative is a financial security whose value is a function of underlying traded assets and market outcomes. Pricing a financial derivative involves setting up a market model, finding a martingale (``fair game") probability measure for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-09-20 Patrick Rebentrost , Alessandro Luongo , Samuel Bosch , Seth Lloyd

We show how to price and replicate a variety of barrier-style claims written on the $\log$ price $X$ and quadratic variation $\langle X \rangle$ of a risky asset. Our framework assumes no arbitrage, frictionless markets and zero interest…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-11 Peter Carr , Roger Lee , Matthew Lorig

In this paper, we combine modern portfolio theory and option pricing theory so that a trader who takes a position in a European option contract and the underlying assets can construct an optimal portfolio such that at the moment of the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-01-06 Abootaleb Shirvani , Frank J. Fabozzi , Stoyan V. Stoyanov
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