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Group sequential designs in clinical trials allow for interim efficacy and futility monitoring. Adjustment for baseline covariates can increase power and precision of estimated effects. However, inconsistently applying covariate adjustment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-11 Marlena S. Bannick , Sonya L. Heltshe , Noah Simon

In clinical trials, there is potential to improve precision and reduce the required sample size by appropriately adjusting for baseline variables in the statistical analysis. This is called covariate adjustment. Despite recommendations by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Kelly Van Lancker , Joshua Betz , Michael Rosenblum

In conventional randomized controlled trials, adjustment for baseline values of covariates known to be at least moderately associated with the outcome increases the power of the trial. Recent work has shown particular benefit for more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

Benkeser et al. demonstrate how adjustment for baseline covariates in randomized trials can meaningfully improve precision for a variety of outcome types. Their findings build on a long history, starting in 1932 with R.A. Fisher and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Laura B. Balzer , Erica Cai , Lucas Godoy Garraza , Pracheta Amaranath

The current work is motivated by the need for robust statistical methods for precision medicine; as such, we address the need for statistical methods that provide actionable inference for a single unit at any point in time. We aim to learn…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-02 Ivana Malenica , Aurelien Bibaut , Mark J. van der Laan

Two commonly used methods for improving precision and power in clinical trials are stratified randomization and covariate adjustment. However, many trials do not fully capitalize on the combined precision gains from these two methods, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Bingkai Wang , Ryoko Susukida , Ramin Mojtabai , Masoumeh Amin-Esmaeili , Michael Rosenblum

Conditional power calculations are frequently used to guide the decision whether or not to stop a trial for futility or to modify planned sample size. These ignore the information in short-term endpoints and baseline covariates, and thereby…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Kelly Van Lancker , An Vandebosch , Stijn Vansteelandt

Randomized clinical trials typically aim to estimate a marginal treatment effect. While covariate adjustment can improve precision, it may change the estimand in nonlinear models due to noncollapsibility, leading to conditional rather than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Leticia Wuethrich , Torsten Hothorn

Group sequential designs drive innovation in clinical, industrial, and corporate settings. Early stopping for failure in sequential designs conserves experimental resources, whereas early stopping for success accelerates access to improved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi , Marina B. Klein

Uncertainty quantification of causal effects is crucial for safety-critical applications such as personalized medicine. A powerful approach for this is conformal prediction, which has several practical benefits due to model-agnostic…

Sample size reestimation can be a powerful tool to ensure that a clinical trial meets its prespecified power requirements when uncertainty regarding a design parameter exists at the planning stage. However, long term primary endpoints can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Aritra Mukherjee , Michael J Grayling , James J M S Wason

The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

The statistical efficiency of randomized clinical trials can be improved by incorporating information from baseline covariates (i.e., pre-treatment patient characteristics). This can be done in the design stage using stratified (permutated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Zhiwei Zhang

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

When analyzing data from randomized clinical trials, covariate adjustment can be used to account for chance imbalance in baseline covariates and to increase precision of the treatment effect estimate. A practical barrier to covariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Chia-Rui Chang , Yue Song , Fan Li , Rui Wang

Estimating causal effects from randomized experiments is central to clinical research. Reducing the statistical uncertainty in these analyses is an important objective for statisticians. Registries, prior trials, and health records…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Alejandro Schuler , David Walsh , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

Modern longitudinal studies collect feature data at many timepoints, often of the same order of sample size. Such studies are typically affected by {dropout} and positivity violations. We tackle these problems by generalizing effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , Ashley I. Naimi

Cluster randomized trials with measurements at baseline can improve power over post-test only designs by using difference in difference designs. However, subjects may be lost to follow-up between the baseline and follow-up periods. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Jonathan Moyer , Ken Kleinman

This paper studies inference on the average treatment effect in experiments in which treatment status is determined according to "matched pairs" and it is additionally desired to adjust for observed, baseline covariates to gain further…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-20 Yuehao Bai , Liang Jiang , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh , Yichong Zhang
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