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The ability to interpret machine learning models has become increasingly important as their usage in data science continues to rise. Most current interpretability methods are optimized to work on either (\textit{i}) a global scale, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-11 Emily T. Winn-Nuñez , Maryclare Griffin , Lorin Crawford

The points of a moment variety are the vectors of all moments up to some order of a family of probability distributions. We study this variety for mixtures of Gaussians. Following up on Pearson's classical work from 1894, we apply current…

代数几何 · 数学 2017-04-06 Carlos Améndola , Jean-Charles Faugère , Bernd Sturmfels

In many temporally ordered data sets, it is observed that the parameters of the underlying distribution change abruptly at unknown times. The detection of such changepoints is important for many applications. While this problem has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee , Arnab Kumar Laha

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

In this paper we introduce a novel statistical framework based on the first two quantile conditional moments that facilitates effective goodness-of-fit testing for one-sided L\'evy distributions. The scale-ratio framework introduced in this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-28 Kewin Pączek , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

We develop a numerical scheme for subdiffusion of variable exponent by combining the $L2-1_\sigma$ temporal discretization with finite element spatial approximation. In existing works, determining the superconvergence points requires…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-12-30 Hongying Huang , Huili Zhang , Xiangcheng Zheng

We develop efficient algorithms for estimating low-degree moments of unknown distributions in the presence of adversarial outliers. The guarantees of our algorithms improve in many cases significantly over the best previous ones, obtained…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-12-27 Pravesh K. Kothari , David Steurer

We consider the problem of estimating the conditional mean of a real Gaussian variable $\nolinebreak Y=\sum_{i=1}^p\nolinebreak\theta_iX_i+\nolinebreak \epsilon$ where the vector of the covariates $(X_i)_{1\leq i\leq p}$ follows a joint…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-28 Nicolas Verzelen

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

In this work, an inverse problem in the fractional diffusion equation with random source is considered. The measurements used are the statistical moments of the realizations of single point data $u(x_0,t,\omega).$ We build the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-04-09 Shubin Fu , Zhidong Zhang

Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-30 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Yang Ning , Hui Zou

There are several ways to establish the asymptotic normality of $L$-statistics, which depend on the choice of the weights-generating function and the cumulative distribution selection of the underlying model. In this study, we focus on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-23 Chudamani Poudyal

Many statistical methods have been proposed to estimate causal models in classical situations with fewer variables than observations (p<n, p: the number of variables and n: the number of observations). However, modern datasets including…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-04-08 Shohei Shimizu , Takashi Washio , Aapo Hyvarinen , Seiya Imoto

We describe an elementary method to get non-asymptotic estimates for the moments of Hermitian random matrices whose elements are Gaussian independent random variables. As the basic example, we consider the GUE matrices. Immediate…

数学物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 O. Khorunzhiy

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

We describe and use two different statistical approaches to try and detect low-frequency solar oscillations in Sun-as-a-star data: a frequentist approach and a Bayesian approach. We have used frequentist statistics to search contemporaneous…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-18 A. -M. Broomhall , W. J. Chaplin , Y. Elsworth , T. Appourchaux , R. New

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

Many problems arising in applications result in the need to probe a probability distribution for functions. Examples include Bayesian nonparametric statistics and conditioned diffusion processes. Standard MCMC algorithms typically become…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-20 S. L. Cotter , G. O. Roberts , A. M. Stuart , D. White

Precision medicine is a paradigm shift in healthcare relying heavily on genomics data. However, the complexity of biological interactions, the large number of genes as well as the lack of comparisons on the analysis of data, remain a…

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz