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There is a widespread recent interest in using ideas from statistical physics to model certain types of problems in economics and finance. The main idea is to derive the macroscopic behavior of the market from the random local interactions…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-15 Daniel Remenik

Stochastic differential equations have proved to be a valuable governing framework for many real-world systems which exhibit ``noise'' or randomness in their evolution. One quality of interest in such systems is the shape of their…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-02-04 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

We study a generalised model of population growth in which the state variable is population growth rate instead of population size. Stochastic parametric perturbations, modelling phenotypic variability, lead to a Langevin system with two…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-10-15 Harold P. de Vladar , Ido Pen

During its history, the ultimate goal of economics has been to develop similar frameworks for modeling economic behavior as invented in physics. This has not been successful, however, and current state of the process is the neoclassical…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-09 Matti Estola

Spreadsheets offer a supremely successful and intuitive means of processing and exchanging numerical content. Its intuitive ad-hoc nature makes it hugely popular for use in diverse areas including business and engineering, yet these very…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Peter Bartholomew

Statistical Mechanics deals with ensembles of microstates that are compatible with fixed constraints and that on average define a thermodynamic macrostate. The evolution of a small system is normally subjected to changing constraints and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-10-26 J. Ricardo Arias-Gonzalez

Many widely used models amount to an elaborate means of making up numbers--but once a number has been produced, it tends to be taken seriously and its source (the model) is rarely examined carefully. Many widely used models have little…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-28 Philip B. Stark

Macroeconomic data is characterized by a limited number of observations (small T), many time series (big K) but also by featuring temporal dependence. Neural networks, by contrast, are designed for datasets with millions of observations and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-04 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Karin Klieber , Massimiliano Marcellino

Stochastic dominance serves as a general framework for modeling a broad spectrum of decision preferences under uncertainty, with risk aversion as one notable example, as it naturally captures the intrinsic structure of the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Shicong Cen , Jincheng Mei , Hanjun Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Yuejie Chi , Bo Dai

We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

The fundamental purpose of the present research article is to introduce the basic principles of Dimensional Analysis in the context of the neoclassical economic theory, in order to apply such principles to the fundamental relations that…

This paper is a study of the history of the transplant of mathematical tools using negative feedback for macroeconomic stabilization policy from 1948 to 1975 and the subsequent break of the use of control for stabilization policy which…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-02 Jean Bernard Chatelain , Kirsten Ralf

We propose a flexible stochastic framework for modeling the market share dynamics over time in a multiple markets setting, where firms interact within and between markets. Firms undergo stochastic idiosyncratic shocks, which contract their…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-06 Igor Prünster , Matteo Ruggiero

Since the celebrated paper by El Karoui, Peng and Quenez [Mathematical Finance, 7 (1997), 1--71], backward stochastic differential equations have found wide applications in stochastic control, financial technology and machine learning. In…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Shengjun Fan , Ying Hu , Shanjian Tang

Many large cities are found at locations with certain first nature advantages. Yet, those exogenous locational features may not be the most potent forces governing the spatial pattern of cities. In particular, population size, spacing and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-27 Tomoya Mori

The article discusses a generalization of model of economic growth with constant pace, which takes into account the effects of dynamic memory. Memory means that endogenous or exogenous variable at a given time depends not only on their…

经济学 · 定量金融 2019-04-04 Valentina V. Tarasova , Vasily E. Tarasov

In modern science, computer models are often used to understand complex phenomena, and a thriving statistical community has grown around analyzing them. This review aims to bring a spotlight to the growing prevalence of stochastic computer…

This work lies in the fusion of experimental economics and data mining. It continues author's previous work on mining behaviour rules of human subjects from experimental data, where game-theoretic predictions partially fail to work.…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-11-13 Rustam Tagiew

In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-22 Tamás Biró , Zoltán Néda

Unlike equilibrium statistical mechanics, with its well-established foundations, a similar widely-accepted framework for non-equilibrium statistical mechanics (NESM) remains elusive. Here, we review some of the many recent activities on…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-30 T. Chou , K. Mallick , R. K. P. Zia