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This paper focuses on the problem of anticipating the local occurrence of future large earthquakes. "Local" is defined as the probability of a large earthquake occurring with a defined circle of arbitrary radius surrounding a point of…

Motivated by the fact that empirical time series of earthquakes exhibit long-range correlations in space and time and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of magnitudes, we propose a simple fault model that can account for these types of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi

The idea of the global daily magnitude (GDM, unit designation is Mg) of earthquakes is introduced. The formula is given for calculating Mg from earthquake strength data, characterized by the classic magnitude M on the Richter scale. An…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-09-04 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

We analyze regional earthquake energy statistics from the Southern California and Japan seismic catalogs and find scale-invariant energy distributions characterized by an exponent $\tau \simeq 1.67$. To quantify how closely scale-invariant…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-12-22 K. Duplat , G. Varas , O. Ramos

The Gutenberg-Richter law is identified in the Internet time series. This demonstrates the scale free nature of the Internet.

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Three fundamental laws of the physics of earthquakes, bearing the names of their discoverers Omori, Gutenberg, Richter and Bath, are widely used in original, review, monographic, and encyclopedic literature. In this paper, we have tried to…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-08-06 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

We introduce a new model for an earthquake fault system that is composed of non-interacting simple lattice models with different levels of damage denoted by $q$. The undamaged lattice models ($q=0$) have Gutenberg-Richter scaling with a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-03-17 C. A. Serino , K. F. Tiampo , W. Klein

Earthquake network is known to be of the small-world type. The values of the network characteristics, however, depend not only on the cell size (i.e., the scale of coarse graining needed for constructing the network) but also on the size of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Sumiyoshi Abe , Denisse Pasten , Norikazu Suzuki

Avalanche statistics of various threshold activated dynamical systems are known to depend on the magnitude of the drive, or stress, on the system. Such dependencies exist for earthquake size distributions, in sheared granular avalanches,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-01-07 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Lucas Goehring

The complete part of the earthquake frequency-magnitude distribution (FMD), above completeness magnitude mc, is well described by the Gutenberg-Richter law. The parameter mc however varies in space due to the seismic network configuration,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-08-13 Arnaud Mignan

In this paper, we used the Global Catalog of the National Earthquake Information Center US Geological Survey (NEIC USGS) for analysis of the magnitude-frequency distribution of earthquakes. We selected the unimodal part of the distribution…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-12-03 A. V. Guglielmi

In this work the data of the earthquake catalog of the NOAA, National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC) are processed in terms of global seismic energy release. The determined Global Cumulative Seismic Energy Release (GCSER) graph as a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-10-03 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

The statistical properties of avalanches in a dissipative particulate system under slow shear are investigated using molecular dynamics simulations. It is found that the magnitude-frequency distribution obeys the Gutenberg-Richter law only…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-07-31 Takahiro Hatano , Clément Narteau , Peter Shebalin

We make an extensive numerical study of a two dimensional nonconservative model proposed by Olami-Feder-Christensen to describe earthquake behavior. By analyzing the distribution of earthquake sizes using a multiscaling method, we find…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Stefano Lise , Maya Paczuski

Statistical similarities between earthquakes and other systems that emit cracking noises have been explored in diverse contexts, ranging from materials science to financial and social systems. Such analogies give promise of a unified and…

地球物理 · 物理学 2016-06-27 Leandro S. Costa , Ervin K. Lenzi , Renio S. Mendes , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

We construct a classification model that predicts if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold will take place at a given location in a time range 30-180 days from a given moment of time. A common approach is to use expert…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-28 P. Proskura , A. Zaytsev , I. Braslavsky , E. Egorov , E. Burnaev

The size or energy of diverse structures or phenomena in geoscience appears to follow power-law distributions. A rigorous statistical analysis of such observations is tricky, though. Observables can span several orders of magnitude, but the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-04-29 Álvaro Corral , Álvaro González

We introduce a shear experiment that quantitatively reproduces the main laws of seismicity. By continuously and slowly shearing a compressed monolayer of disks in a ring-like geometry, our system delivers events of frictional failures with…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-06-05 S. Lherminier , R. Planet , V. Levy dit Vehel , G. Simon , L. Vanel , K. J. Måløy , O. Ramos

This study investigates possibility of placing bounds on the parameters, arising from the non-commutative Snyder space-time model and Generalized Uncertainty Principle (GUP) approach, by utilizing seismic data. We investigate the dependence…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2025-07-17 Aleksander Kozak , Anna Pachoł , Aneta Wojnar