English

Usage of multiple RTL features for Earthquake prediction

Applications 2019-05-28 v1 Machine Learning Signal Processing Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Abstract

We construct a classification model that predicts if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold will take place at a given location in a time range 30-180 days from a given moment of time. A common approach is to use expert forecasts based on features like Region-Time-Length (RTL) characteristics. The proposed approach uses machine learning on top of multiple RTL features to take into account effects at various scales and to improve prediction accuracy. For historical data about Japan earthquakes 1992-2005 and predictions at locations given in this database the best model has precision up to ~ 0.95 and recall up to ~ 0.98.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1905.10805,
  title  = {Usage of multiple RTL features for Earthquake prediction},
  author = {P. Proskura and A. Zaytsev and I. Braslavsky and E. Egorov and E. Burnaev},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.10805},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

13 pages, 3 figures, 3 tables

R2 v1 2026-06-23T09:24:46.391Z