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Motivated by recent outbreaks of the Ebola Virus, we are concerned with the role that a vector reservoir plays in supporting the spatio-temporal spread of a highly lethal disease through a host population. In our context, the reservoir is a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-07-24 W. E. Fitzgibbon , J. J. Morgan

In this paper we propose a method to study a general vector-hosts mathematical model in order to explain how the changes in biodiversity could influence the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. We find that under the assumption of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-11-28 Camilo Sanabria Malagon , Esteban Vargas Bernal

Managing infectious diseases is a world public health issue, plagued by uncertainties. In this paper, we analyze the problem of viable control of a dengue outbreak under uncertainty. For this purpose, we develop a controlled Ross-Macdonald…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-23 Lilian Sofia Salcedo Sepulveda , Michel De Lara

Dengue fever is a disease which is transmitted and caused by Aedes Aegypti mosquitos. Dengue has become a serious health issue in all over the world especially in those countries who are situated in tropical or subtropical regions because…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-11-24 Kamran Shaukat , Nayyer Masood , Ahmed Bin Shafaat , Kamran Jabbar , Hassan Shabbir , Shakir Shabbir

Due to the rapid geographic spread of the Aedes mosquito and the increase in dengue incidence, dengue fever has been an increasing concern for public health authorities in tropical and subtropical countries worldwide. Significant challenges…

A compartment epidemic model for infectious disease spreading is investigated, where movement of individuals is governed by spatial diffusion. The model includes infection age of the infected individuals and assumes a logistic growth of the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-06-28 Christoph Walker

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

In this paper we first introduce the general stochastic epidemic model for the spread of infectious diseases. Then we give methods for inferring model parameters such as the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and vaccination coverage $v_c$…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Tom Britton , Federica Giardina

In this paper, we construct a model to describe the transmission of HIV in a homogeneous host population. By considering the specific mechanism of HIV, we derive a model structured in three successive stages: (i) primary infection, (ii)…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-11-18 Mboya Ba , Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse , Mountaga Lam , Jean-Jules Tewa

Infectious disease spread is a multi-scale process composed of within-host (biological) and between-host (social) drivers and disentangling them from each other is a central challenge in epidemiology. Here, we introduce VIBES, a multi-scale…

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

We study a stochastic epidemic model with multiple patches (locations), where individuals in each patch are categorized into three compartments, Susceptible, Infected and Recovered/Removed, and may migrate from one patch to another in any…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-21 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

Whole genome sequencing of pathogens from multiple hosts in an epidemic offers the potential to investigate who infected whom with unparalleled resolution, potentially yielding important insights into disease dynamics and the impact of…

We study the relation between different social behaviors and the onset of epidemics in a model for the dynamics of sexual transmitted diseases. The model considers the society as a system of individual sexuated agents that can be organized…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Sebastian Goncalves , Marcelo Kuperman , Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes

In this paper, we study a reaction-diffusion vector-host epidemic model. We define the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and show that $R_0$ is a threshold parameter: if $R_0\le 1$ the disease free steady state is globally stable; if $R_0>1$…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-12-05 Pierre Magal , G. F. Webb , Yixiang Wu

A social (sexual) network is modeled by an extension of the configuration model to the situation where edges have weights, e.g. reflecting the number of sex-contacts between the individuals. An epidemic model is defined on the network such…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-21 Tom Britton , David Lindenstrand

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

Epidemiological processes are studied within a recently proposed hierarchical network model using the susceptible-infected-refractory dynamics of an epidemic. Within the network model, a population may be characterized by $H$ independent…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-06-24 Dafang Zheng , P. M. Hui , Steffen Trimper , Bo Zheng

A cholera transmission model incorporating water-borne and horizontal transmissions as well as infectivity of deceased individuals is formulated and studied. The model also describes an imperfect and waning vaccination. Global stability of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-04-11 Abdramane Annour Saad , Julien Arino , Patrick M Tchepmo Djomegni , Mahamat S Daoussa Haggar

Waning immunity and reinfection are critical features of many infectious diseases, but epidemiological models often fail to capture the intricate interaction between an individual's history of immunity and their current infection status;…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-03-25 Raimund M. Kovacevic , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis , Vladimir M. Veliov