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Tipping points associated with bifurcations (B-tipping) or induced by noise (N-tipping) are recognized mechanisms that may potentially lead to sudden climate change. We focus here a novel class of tipping points, where a sufficiently rapid…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-02-14 Peter Ashwin , Sebastian Wieczorek , Renato Vitolo , Peter Cox

Tipping points are one of the hot topics in modern physics of complex systems. But what is a tipping point? A generic definition declares it as ``a state of the system where a small change in its parameters can lead to a significant change…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-02-25 Alan Hastings , Sergei Petrovskii , Valerio Lucarini , Andrew Morozov

Model studies indicate that many climate subsystems, especially ecosystems, may be vulnerable to 'tipping': a 'catastrophic process' in which a system, driven by gradually changing external factors, abruptly transitions (or 'collapses')…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-06-30 Dock Staal , Arjen Doelman

In an ecosystem, environmental changes as a result of natural and human processes can cause some key parameters of the system to change with time. Depending on how fast such a parameter changes, a tipping point can occur. Existing works on…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-11-16 Shirin Panahi , Younghae Do , Alan Hastings , Ying-Cheng Lai

There is a growing awareness that catastrophic phenomena in biology and medicine can be mathematically represented in terms of saddle-node bifurcations. In particular, the term `tipping', or critical transition has in recent years entered…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-10-29 Jeremiah Li , Felix X. -F. Ye , Hong Qian , Sui Huang

Sudden transitions in the state of a system are often undesirable in natural and human-made systems. Such transitions under fast variation of system parameters are called rate-induced tipping. We experimentally demonstrate rate-induced…

应用物理 · 物理学 2022-09-15 Induja Pavithran , P. R. Midhun , R. I. Sujith

Nonlinear dynamical systems may be exposed to tipping points, critical thresholds at which small changes in the external inputs or in the systems parameters abruptly shift the system to an alternative state with a contrasting dynamical…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2016-10-07 Everton S. Medeiros , Iberê L. Caldas , Murilo S. Baptista , Ulrike Feudel

We discuss the nonlinear phenomena of irreversible tipping for non-autonomous systems where time-varying inputs correspond to a smooth "parameter shift" from one asymptotic value to another. We express tipping in terms of pullback…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-04-24 Peter Ashwin , Clare Perryman , Sebastian Wieczorek

Critical transitions describe sudden changes in the state of an ecosystem. In classical bifurcation theory, such transitions occur when the value of a parameter exceeds a threshold (``bifurcation") value. More recently, critical transitions…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-05-25 Irakli Antidze , Brian Hennessy , Nikola Popovic , Zak Sattar

Rate-induced tipping (R-tipping) occurs when time-variation of input parameters of a dynamical system interacts with system timescales to give genuine nonautonomous instabilities. Such instabilities appear as the input varies at some…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-10 Sebastian Wieczorek , Chun Xie , Peter Ashwin

This review synthesizes recent advancements in understanding tipping points and cascading transitions within the Earth system, framing them through the lens of nonlinear dynamics and complexity science. It outlines the fundamental concepts…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Sheng Fang , Ziyan Wang , Jürgen Kurths , Jingfang Fan

Abrupt shifts in ecosystems, brains, markets, and climate are often diagnosed as signs of approaching a tipping point, i.e. a critical bifurcation where stability is lost. Here we reveal a broader and more deceptive mechanism:…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-10-06 Virgile Troude , Sandro Claudio Lera , Ke Wu , Didier Sornette

We identify the phase of a cycle as a new critical factor for tipping points (critical transitions) in cyclic systems subject to time-varying external conditions. As an example, we consider how contemporary climate variability induces…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-10-11 Hassan Alkhayuon , Rebecca C. Tyson , Sebastian Wieczorek

Rate-induced tipping (R-tipping) occurs when a ramp parameter changes rapidly enough to cause the system to tip between co-existing, attracting states, while noise-induced tipping (N-tipping) occurs when there are random transitions between…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2024-10-02 Katherine Slyman , Emmanuel Fleurantin , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

A wide variety of physical systems ranging from the firing of neurons to eutrophication of lakes to the presence of Arctic summer sea ice exhibit a phenomenon known as tipping. In mathematical models, tipping can be caused by bifurcations,…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-03-14 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Alice Nadeau , Andrew Roberts , Andrew Steyer

Nonlinear dynamical systems subjected to a combination of noise and time-varying forcing can exhibit sudden changes, critical transitions or tipping points where large or rapid dynamic effects arise from changes in a parameter that are…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2024-05-21 Peter Ashwin , Julian Newman , Raphael Römer

We propose a framework to study tipping points in reaction-diffusion equations (RDEs) in one spatial dimension, where the reaction term decays in space (asymptotically homogeneous) and varies linearly with time (nonautonomous) due to an…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-12-05 Cris R. Hasan , Ruaidhrí Mac Cárthaigh , Sebastian Wieczorek

The theory of alternative stable states and tipping points has garnered substantial attention in the last several decades. It predicts potential critical transitions from one ecosystem state to a completely different state under increasing…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2024-09-11 Swarnendu Banerjee , Mara Baudena , Paul Carter , Robbin Bastiaansen , Arjen Doelman , Max Rietkerk

We consider the effect on tipping from an additive periodic forcing in a canonical model with a saddle node bifurcation and a slowly varying bifurcation parameter. Here tipping refers to the dramatic change in dynamical behavior…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2015-08-28 Jielin Zhu , Rachel Kuske , Thomas Erneux

Complex systems exhibiting critical transitions when one of their governing parameters varies are ubiquitous in nature and in engineering applications. Despite a vast literature focusing on this topic, there are few studies dealing with the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-03-08 Giacomo Bonciolini , Dominik Ebi , Edouard Boujo , Nicolas Noiray
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