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In this paper, we consider a risk process with deterministic growth and multiplicative jumps to model the capital of a low-income household. Reflecting the high-risk nature of the low-income environment, capital losses are assumed to be…

Continuous time financial market models are often motivated as scaling limits of discrete time models. The objective of this paper is to establish such a connection for a robust framework. More specifically, we consider discrete time models…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-17 David Criens

Motivated by the interplay between structural and reduced form credit models, we propose to model the firm value process as a time-changed Brownian motion that may include jumps and stochastic volatility effects, and to study the first…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-04-16 T. R. Hurd

Constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) are used as a decision-making framework to study the long-run performance of a stochastic system. It is well-known that a stationary optimal policy of a CMDP problem under discounted cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-02 V Varagapriya , Vikas Vikram Singh , Abdel Lisser

In this work the ruin probability of the Lundberg risk process is used as a criterion for determining the optimal security loading of premia in the presence of price-sensitive demand for insurance. Both single and aggregated claim processes…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-08-24 Ragnar Levy Gudmundarson , Manuel Guerra , Alexandra Bugalho de Moura

We study risk-sensitive control of continuous time Markov chains taking values in discrete state space. We study both finite and infinite horizon problems. In the finite horizon problem we characterise the value function via HJB equation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-09-16 Mrinal K. Ghosh , Subhamay Saha

In this paper we present the classical results of Kolmogorov's backward and forward equations to the case of a two-parameter Markov process. These equations relates the infinitesimal transition matrix of the two-parameter Markov process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-01 Álvaro Calvache , Viswanathan Arunachalam

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is the first theory for decision-making under uncertainty that combines full theoretical soundness and empirically realistic features [P.P. Wakker - Prospect theory: For risk and ambiguity, Page 2]. While…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-05-15 Thomas Brihaye , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Stefanie Mohr , Maximilian Weininger

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper considers the problem of finding near-optimal Markovian randomized (MR) policies for finite-state-action, infinite-horizon, constrained risk-sensitive Markov decision processes (CRSMDPs). Constraints are in the form of standard…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-14 Uday Kumar M , Sanjay P Bhat , Veeraruna Kavitha , Nandyala Hemachandra

This survey treats the problem of ruin in a risk model when assets earn investment income. In addition to a general presentation of the problem, topics covered are a presentation of the relevant integro-differential equations, exact and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-18 Jostein Paulsen

Modeling unknown systems from data is a precursor of system optimization and sequential decision making. In this paper, we focus on learning a Markov model from a single trajectory of states. Suppose that the transition model has a small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-30 Ziwei Zhu , Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

We propose a model for an insurance loss index and the claims process of a single insurance company holding a fraction of the total number of contracts that captures both ordinary losses and losses due to catastrophes. In this model we…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-05-17 Andreas Eichler , Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi

In this paper, an optimization problem for the monotone mean-variance(MMV) criterion is considered in the perspective of the insurance company. The MMV criterion is an amended version of the classical mean-variance(MV) criterion which…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-12-05 Bohan Li , Junyi Guo , Linlin Tian

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

In this paper, we consider a continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection with regime-switching and random horizon. Unlike previous works, the dynamic of assets are described by non-Markovian regime-switching models in the sense that…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-16 Tian Chen , Ruyi Liu , Zhen Wu

We consider the problem of minimizing the probability of ruin by purchasing reinsurance whose premium is computed according to the mean-variance premium principle, a combination of the expected-value and variance premium principles. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-07 Xiaoqing Liang , Zhibin Liang , Virginia R. Young

Due to the lack of reliable market information, building financial term-structures may be associated with a significant degree of uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a new term-structure interpolation method that extends classical spline…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-04-11 Areski Cousin , Hassan Maatouk , Didier Rullière

We introduce a general framework for measuring risk in the context of Markov control processes with risk maps on general Borel spaces that generalize known concepts of risk measures in mathematical finance, operations research and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-01-27 Yun Shen , Wilhelm Stannat , Klaus Obermayer