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Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

Inverse probability weights are commonly used in epidemiology to estimate causal effects in observational studies. Researchers can typically focus on either the average treatment effect or the average treatment effect on the treated with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-05 Eli Ben-Michael , Luke Keele

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-25 Sophia Kyriakou , Ioannis Kosmidis , Nicola Sartori

Interference bias is a major impediment to identifying causal effects in real-world settings. For example, vaccination reduces the transmission of a virus in a population such that everyone benefits -- even those who are not treated. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-25 Michael O'Riordan , Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee

Estimates of individual treatment effects from networked observational data are attracting increasing attention these days. One major challenge in network scenarios is the violation of the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-26 Ziyu Zhao , Yuqi Bai , Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

Inferring the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in an observational study requires adjusting for observed baseline confounders to avoid bias. However, adjusting for all observed baseline covariates, when only a subset are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Wen Wei Loh , Stijn Vansteelandt

Analyses of randomised trials are often based on regression models which adjust for baseline covariates, in addition to randomised group. Based on such models, one can obtain estimates of the marginal mean outcome for the population under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Jonathan W. Bartlett

An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the bias of estimators due to the ever-increasing data size and model complexity. Approximate numerical methods and data features like censoring and misclassification often…

When analyzing data from randomized clinical trials, covariate adjustment can be used to account for chance imbalance in baseline covariates and to increase precision of the treatment effect estimate. A practical barrier to covariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Chia-Rui Chang , Yue Song , Fan Li , Rui Wang

In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

Propensity score weighting is a common method for estimating treatment effects with survey data. The method is applied to minimize confounding using measured covariates that are often different between individuals in treatment and control.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Yukang Zeng , Fan Li , Guangyu Tong

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity is vital to many scientific fields because the same treatment may affect different individuals differently. Quantile regression provides a natural framework for modeling such heterogeneity. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-12 Alexander Giessing , Jingshen Wang

Difference-in-differences is based on a parallel trends assumption, which states that changes over time in average potential outcomes are independent of treatment assignment, possibly conditional on covariates. With time-varying treatments,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Nicholas Illenberger , Iván Díaz , Audrey Renson

This paper considers the problem of design-based inference for the average treatment effect in finely stratified experiments. Here, by "design-based'' we mean that the only source of uncertainty stems from the randomness in treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-08 Yuehao Bai , Xun Huang , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

Staggered treatment adoption arises in the evaluation of policy impact and implementation in many settings, including both randomized stepped-wedge trials and non-randomized quasi-experiments with panel data. In both settings, getting an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

This paper proposes new estimators for the propensity score that aim to maximize the covariate distribution balance among different treatment groups. Heuristically, our proposed procedure attempts to estimate a propensity score model by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song , Qi Xu

We propose an easy-to-use adjustment estimator for the effect of a treatment based on observational data from a single (social) network of units. The approach allows for interactions among units within the network, called interference, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Meta-Lina Spohn , Leonard Henckel , Marloes H. Maathuis