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Unbiased estimators are introduced for averaged Bregman divergences which generalize Stein's Unbiased (Predictive) Risk Estimator, and the minimization of these estimators is proposed as a regularization parameter selection method for…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-11-22 Elias S. Helou , Sandra A. Santos , Lucas E. A. Simões

Linear transformation model provides a general framework for analyzing censored survival data with covariates. The proportional hazards and proportional odds models are special cases of the linear transformation model. In biomedical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-11 Sudheesh K. K. , Deemat C. Mathew , Litty Mathew , Min Xie

Estimating the effect of treatments from natural experiments, where treatments are pre-assigned, is an important and well-studied problem. We introduce a novel natural experiment dataset obtained from an early childhood literacy nonprofit.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-10 R. Teal Witter , Christopher Musco

We consider inference on a scalar regression coefficient under a constraint on the magnitude of the control coefficients. A class of estimators based on a regularized propensity score regression is shown to exactly solve a tradeoff between…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-11 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár , Soonwoo Kwon

We study nonparametric distance-based (isotropic) local polynomial methods for estimating the boundary average treatment effect curve, a causal functional that captures treatment effect heterogeneity in boundary discontinuity designs. We…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi Rae Yu

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Experiments in online platforms frequently suffer from network interference, in which a treatment applied to a given unit affects outcomes for other units connected via the platform. This SUTVA violation biases naive approaches to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Tianyi Peng , Naimeng Ye , Andrew Zheng

Non-compliance is common in real world experiments. We focus on inference about the sample complier average causal effect, that is, the average treatment effect for experimental units who are compliers. We present three types of inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-05 Zhen Zhong , Per Johansson , Junni L. Zhang

The purpose of this work is to improve the efficiency in estimating the average causal effect (ACE) on the survival scale where right-censoring exists and high-dimensional covariate information is available. We propose new estimators using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Ran Dai , Cheng Zheng , Mei-Jie Zhang

A key methodological challenge in observational studies with interference between units is twofold: (1) each unit's outcome may depend on many others' treatments, and (2) treatment assignments may exhibit complex dependencies across units.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Souhardya Sengupta , Kosuke Imai , Georgia Papadogeorgou

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

We present machine learning estimators for causal and predictive parameters under covariate shift, where covariate distributions differ between training and target populations. One such parameter is the average effect of a policy that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Victor Chernozhukov , Michael Newey , Whitney K Newey , Rahul Singh , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Multi-regional clinical trials (MRCTs) play an increasingly crucial role in global pharmaceutical development by expediting data gathering and regulatory approval across diverse patient populations. However, differences in recruitment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Kaiyuan Hua , Hwanhee Hong , Xiaofei Wang

Randomized experiments are widely used to estimate the causal effects of a proposed treatment in many areas of science, from medicine and healthcare to the physical and biological sciences, from the social sciences to engineering, to public…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-30 Christina Lee Yu , Edoardo M Airoldi , Christian Borgs , Jennifer T Chayes

The technique of data augmentation (DA) is often used in machine learning for regularization purposes to better generalize under i.i.d. settings. In this work, we present a unifying framework with topics in causal inference to make a case…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Uzair Akbar , Niki Kilbertus , Hao Shen , Krikamol Muandet , Bo Dai

In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay

We propose a test-based elastic integrative analysis of the randomized trial and real-world data to estimate treatment effect heterogeneity with a vector of known effect modifiers. When the real-world data are not subject to bias, our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-30 Shu Yang , Chenyin Gao , Donglin Zeng , Xiaofei Wang

Online marketplace designers frequently run A/B tests to measure the impact of proposed product changes. However, given that marketplaces are inherently connected, total average treatment effect estimates obtained through Bernoulli…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-28 David Holtz , Ruben Lobel , Inessa Liskovich , Sinan Aral

Inferring the causal effects of time-varying treatments is often hindered by highly variable inverse propensity weights, particularly in settings with limited covariate overlap. Building on the key framework of Imai and Ratkovic (2015), we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Yige Li , María de los Angeles Resa , José R. Zubizarreta
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