相关论文: Detecting deviations from second-order stationarit…

In this paper we consider the problem of measuring stationarity in locally stationary long-memory processes. We introduce an $L_2$-distance between the spectral density of the locally stationary process and its best approximation under the…

Analyzing the covariance structure of data is a fundamental task of statistics. While this task is simple for low-dimensional observations, it becomes challenging for more intricate objects, such as multivariate functions. Here, the…

In this paper, we consider the time-inhomogeneous nonlinear time series regression for a general class of locally stationary time series. On one hand, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions which…

Time-dependent data often exhibit characteristics, such as non-stationarity and heavy-tailed errors, that would be inappropriate to model with the typical assumptions used in popular models. Thus, more flexible approaches are required to be…

A new time series bootstrap scheme, the time frequency toggle (TFT)-bootstrap, is proposed. Its basic idea is to bootstrap the Fourier coefficients of the observed time series, and then to back-transform them to obtain a bootstrap sample in…

We introduce methods and theory for fractionally cointegrated curve time series. We develop a variance-ratio test to determine the dimensions associated with the nonstationary and stationary subspaces. For each subspace, we apply a local…

Davis and Mikosch [7] introduced the extremogram as a flexible quantitative tool for measuring various types of extremal dependence in a stationary time series. There we showed some standard statistical properties of the sample extremogram.…

Non-stationarity affects the sensitivity of change detection in correlated systems described by sets of measurable variables. We study this by projecting onto different principal components. Non-stationarity is modeled as multiple normal…

This paper studies alpha testing in a high-dimensional conditional time-varying factor model with temporally dependent observations. Both factor loadings and alpha processes are allowed to vary smoothly over time, and the cross-sectional…

Multivariate time series present many challenges, especially when they are high dimensional. The paper's focus is twofold. First, we address the subject of consistently estimating the autocovariance sequence; this is a sequence of matrices…

A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

An algorithm for determining stationary periods for time series of random sea waves is proposed in this work. This is a problem in which changes between stationary sea states are usually slow and segmentation procedures based on…

We construct a block bootstrap max-test for detecting the presence of significant predictors in a high dimensional setting, allowing for weakly dependent and heterogeneous (possibly non-stationary) data. The number of covariates to be…

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

We provide a functional central limit theorem for a broad class of smooth functions for possibly noncausal multivariate linear processes with time-varying coefficients. Since the limiting processes depend on unknown quantities, we propose a…

We propose a new measure for stationarity of a functional time series, which is based on an explicit representation of the $L^2$-distance between the spectral density operator of a non-stationary process and its best ($L^2$-)approximation…

We are concerned with nonparametric hypothesis testing of time series functionals. It is known that the popular autoregressive sieve bootstrap is, in general, not valid for statistics whose (asymptotic) distribution depends on moments of…

We present a general theory to quantify the uncertainty from imposing structural assumptions on the second-order structure of nonstationary Hilbert space-valued processes, which can be measured via functionals of time-dependent spectral…

The problem of detecting variance breaks in the case of smooth time-varying variance structure is studied. It is highlighted that the tests based on (piecewise) constant specification of the variance are not able to distinguish between…