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Conditions for almost sure extinction are studied in discrete time branching processes with an infinite number of types. It is not assumed that the expected number of children is a bounded function of the parent's type. There might also be…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 G. T. Tetzlaff

We finely describe the speed of "coming down from infinity" for birth and death processes which eventually become extinct. Under general assumptions on the birth and death rates, we firstly determine the behavior of the successive hitting…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-01 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard , Mathieu Richard

Strong-field quantum-state control is investigated, taking advantage of the full---amplitude and phase---characterization of the interaction between matter and intense ultrashort pulses via transient-absorption spectroscopy. A sequence of…

原子物理 · 物理学 2017-04-26 Stefano M. Cavaletto , Zoltán Harman , Thomas Pfeifer , Christoph H. Keitel

We consider a hybrid method to simulate the return time to the initial state in a critical-case birth--death process. The expected value of this return time is infinite, but its distribution asymptotically follows a power-law. Hence, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Krzysztof Bartoszek

This article introduces a new condition based on odds ratios for sensitivity analysis. The analysis involves the average effect of a treatment or exposure on a response or outcome with estimates adjusted for and conditional on a single,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-11 Brian Knaeble , Julian Chan

We explore the limit of stochastic differential equations driven by some random processes satisfying singularly perturbed second order stochastic differential equations. The main tool we employ is the universal limit theorem in rough path…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Qingming Zhao , Xueru Liu , Wei Wang

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

We analyze the fate of dynamical systems that consist of two kind of processes. The first type is supposed to perform a certain function by processing information at a required high accuracy, which is, however, limited to less than 100…

生物物理 · 物理学 2018-10-10 Maximilian Voit , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

We propose the following model for speciation and extinction. Birth and deaths occur according to spatially inhomogeneous contact rates. We assume that the ratio of the birth rate over the death rate at a site converges to some limit as the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-15 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

We establish the rate of convergence in the strong law of large numbers of discrete Fourier Transform of the identically distributed random variables with finite moment of order p, where 1<p<2.

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-24 Na Zhang

We consider Stochastic Volatility processes with heavy tails and possible long memory in volatility. We study the limiting conditional distribution of future events given that some present or past event was extreme (i.e. above a level which…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-17 Rafał Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

Preterm births occur at an alarming rate of 10-15%. Preemies have a higher risk of infant mortality, developmental retardation and long-term disabilities. Predicting preterm birth is difficult, even for the most experienced clinicians. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-29 Truyen Tran , Wei Luo , Dinh Phung , Jonathan Morris , Kristen Rickard , Svetha Venkatesh

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Probability distributions and densities are derived for the excess and deficiency of the intensity or instantaneous energy (quasi-static power) associated with a $p$-dimensional random vector field. Explicit expressions for the exact…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-08-27 Luk R. Arnaut

We consider the spectral analysis of several examples of bilateral birth-death processes and compute explicitly the spectral matrix and the corresponding orthogonal polynomials. We also use the spectral representation to study some…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Manuel D. de la Iglesia

We establish new conditions for obtaining uniform bounds on the moments of discrete-time stochastic processes. Our results require a weak negative drift criterion along with a state-dependent restriction on the sizes of the one-step jumps…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-02 Arnab Ganguly , Debasish Chatterjee

We consider a birth-death process with the birth rates $i\lambda$ and death rates $i\mu +i(i-1)\theta$, where $i$ is the current state of the process. A positive competition rate $\theta$ is assumed to be small. In the supercritical case…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-19 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

A step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time non-Markovian process with long range memory. At each step, with a fixed probability p, the positively step-reinforced random walk repeats one of its preceding steps chosen uniformly at…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Zhishui Hu , Yiting Zhang