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相关论文: Unbiased Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with couplings

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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide consistent of integrals as the number of iterations goes to infinity. MCMC estimators are generally biased after any fixed number of iterations. We propose to remove this bias by using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-18 Pierre E. Jacob , John O'Leary , Yves F. Atchadé

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

Due to the potential benefits of parallelization, designing unbiased Monte Carlo estimators, primarily in the setting of randomized multilevel Monte Carlo, has recently become very popular in operations research and computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-03 Guanyang Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn

Constructing unbiased estimators from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) outputs is a difficult problem that has recently received a lot of attention in the statistics and machine learning communities. However, the current unbiased MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Guanyang Wang , Tianze Wang

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating expectations with respect to continuous un-normalized probability distributions. MCMC estimators typically have higher variance than…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-04 Dan Piponi , Matthew D. Hoffman , Pavel Sountsov

We present a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from multivariate Gaussian distributions in which the target space is constrained by linear and quadratic inequalities or products thereof. The Hamiltonian equations of motion can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-06 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

This article shows how coupled Markov chains that meet exactly after a random number of iterations can be used to generate unbiased estimators of the solutions of the Poisson equation. Through this connection, we re-derive known unbiased…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Randal Douc , Pierre E. Jacob , Anthony Lee , Dootika Vats

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides asymptotically consistent estimates of intractable posterior expectations as the number of iterations tends to infinity. However, in large data applications, MCMC can be computationally expensive per…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Niloy Biswas , Lester Mackey

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular sampling method in Bayesian inference. Recently, Heng & Jacob (2019) studied Metropolis HMC with couplings for unbiased Monte Carlo estimation, establishing a generic parallelizable scheme for HMC.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Kai Xu , Tor Erlend Fjelde , Charles Sutton , Hong Ge

The paper proposes a Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when sampling from target densities that may be high dimensional and exhibit strong correlations. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-18 Mark Girolami , Ben Calderhead , Siu A. Chin

We provide a general methodology for unbiased estimation for intractable stochastic models. We consider situations where the target distribution can be written as an appropriate limit of distributions, and where conventional approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-01 Sergios Agapiou , Gareth O. Roberts , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Convergence diagnosis for Markov chain Monte Carlo is a matter of fundamental importance in computational statistics: it determines the resources allocated to a particular sampling problem and influences the practitioner's view of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Buu Phan , Gergely Flamich , Ashish Khisti , Shahab Asoodeh

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for performing approximate inference in complex probabilistic models of continuous variables. In common with many MCMC methods, however, the standard HMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are foundational algorithms for Bayesian inference and probabilistic modeling. However, most MCMC algorithms are inherently sequential and their time complexity scales linearly with the sequence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-03 David M. Zoltowski , Skyler Wu , Xavier Gonzalez , Leo Kozachkov , Scott W. Linderman

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an efficient method of simulating smooth distributions and has motivated the widely used No-U-turn Sampler (NUTS) and software Stan. We build on NUTS and the technique of "unbiased sampling" to design HMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-12-26 George M. Leigh , Amanda R. Northrop

We consider the approximation of expectations with respect to the distribution of a latent Markov process given noisy measurements. This is known as the smoothing problem and is often approached with particle and Markov chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-06 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob
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