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In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

In this paper, we generalise the results presented in the literature for the ruin probability for the insurer--reinsurer model under a pro-rata reinsurance contract. We consider claim amounts that are described by a phase-type distribution…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-15 Krzysztof Burnecki , Zbigniew Palmowski , Marek Teuerle , Aleksandra Wilkowska

The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company invests its reserve in a risky asset whose the price dynamics is given by a geometric L\'evy process. Considering the ruin probability as a of the capital reserve we obtain for…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-10 Viktor Antipov , Yuri Kabanov

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

We analyze the probability of ruin for the {\it scaled} classical Cram\'er-Lundberg (CL) risk process and the corresponding diffusion approximation. The scaling, introduced by Iglehart \cite{I1969} to the actuarial literature, amounts to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-18 Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

It has been decades since the academic world of ruin theory defined the insolvency of an insurance company as the time when its surplus falls below zero. This simplification, however, needs careful adaptions to imitate the real-world…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-06 Aili Zhang , Ping Chen , Shuanming Li , Wenyuan Wang

We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

In this paper a quantitative analysis of the ruin probability in finite time of discrete risk process with proportional reinsurance and investment of finance surplus is focused on. It is assumed that the total loss on a unit interval has a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-14 Helena Jasiulewicz , Wojciech Kordecki

Using the results of precise large deviation and renewal theory for widely dependent random variables, this paper obtains the asymptotic estimation of the random-time ruin probability and the uniform asymptotic estimation of finite-time…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

This note explores the mathematical theory to solve modern gamblers ruin problems. We establish a ruin framework and solve for the probability of bankruptcy. We also show how this relates to the expected time to bankruptcy and review the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-25 Salil Mehta

We consider the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk model with claim sizes that are mixtures of phase-type and subexponential variables. Exploiting a specific geometric compound representation, we propose control variate techniques to…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Hansjörg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Eleni Vatamidou

In these notes, we present some methods and applications of large deviations to finance and insurance. We begin with the classical ruin problem related to the Cramer's theorem and give en extension to an insurance model with investment in…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 Huyen Pham

In this manuscript we consider the dual risk model with financial application, where the random gains occur under a renewal process. We particularly work the Erlang(n) case for common distribution of the inter-arrival times, from there it…

We consider the problem of minimizing the probability of ruin by purchasing reinsurance whose premium is computed according to the mean-variance premium principle, a combination of the expected-value and variance premium principles. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-07 Xiaoqing Liang , Zhibin Liang , Virginia R. Young

The Gerber-Shiu function provides a way of measuring the risk of an insurance company. It is given by the expected value of a function that depends on the ruin time, the deficit at ruin, and the surplus prior to ruin. Its computation…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-01-12 Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Model approximations are common practice when estimating structural or quasi-structural models. The paper considers the econometric properties of estimators that utilize projections to reimpose information about the exact model in the form…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-05 Andreas Tryphonides

We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Yuchao Dong , Jérôme Spielmann

We consider a modification of the dividend maximization problem from ruin theory. Based on a classical risk process we maximize the difference of expected cumulated discounted dividends and total expected discounted additional funding…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2019-01-21 Josef Anton Strini , Stefan Thonhauser

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys