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We introduce a general framework that constructs estimators with reduced variance for random walk Metropolis and Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms. The resulting estimators require negligible computational cost and are derived in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

This work extends Roberts et al. (1997) by considering limits of Random Walk Metropolis (RWM) applied to block IID target distributions, with corresponding block-independent proposals. The extension verifies the robustness of the optimal…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-19 Jeffrey Negrea

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Random-Walk Metropolis algorithm on probability densities with two different `scales', where most of the probability mass is distributed along certain key directions with the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-12 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth Roberts , Alexandre Thiery , Natesh Pillai

A new methodology is presented for the construction of control variates to reduce the variance of additive functionals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers. Our control variates are definedthrough the minimization of the asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-09 Nicolas Brosse , Alain Durmus , Sean Meyn , Eric Moulines , Anand Radhakrishnan

There has been a recent surge of interest in coupling methods for Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms: they facilitate convergence quantification and unbiased estimation, while exploiting embarrassingly parallel computing capabilities.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Tamás P. Papp , Chris Sherlock

We examine the optimal scaling and the efficiency of the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis algorithm using a recently-derived result on the limiting efficiency as the dimension, $d\rightarrow \infty$. We prove that the optimal scaling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-24 Chris Sherlock

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

One main limitation of the existing optimal scaling results for Metropolis--Hastings algorithms is that the assumptions on the target distribution are unrealistic. In this paper, we consider optimal scaling of random-walk Metropolis…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-05 Jun Yang , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This paper considers the optimal scaling problem for high-dimensional random walk Metropolis algorithms for densities which are differentiable in Lp mean but which may be irregular at some points (like the Laplace density for example)…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-25 Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Eric Moulines , Gareth O. Roberts

We consider the optimal scaling problem for high-dimensional random walk Metropolis (RWM) algorithms where the target distribution has a discontinuous probability density function. Almost all previous analysis has focused upon continuous…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-19 Peter Neal , Gareth Roberts , Wai Kong Yuen

We examine the behaviour of the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis algorithm, where evaluations of the target density for the accept/reject probability are estimated rather than computed precisely. Under relatively general conditions on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We consider the random walk Metropolis algorithm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one-dimensional law. In the limit $n\to\infty$, it is well known (see [Ann.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Błażej Miasojedow

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

Yang et al. (2016) proved that the symmetric random walk Metropolis--Hastings algorithm for Bayesian variable selection is rapidly mixing under mild high-dimensional assumptions. We propose a novel MCMC sampler using an informed proposal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-26 Quan Zhou , Jun Yang , Dootika Vats , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We establish an ordering criterion for the asymptotic variances of two consistent Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimators: an importance sampling (IS) estimator, based on an approximate reversible chain and subsequent IS weighting, and a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Jordan Franks , Matti Vihola

We consider a random walk in random environment in the low disorder regime on $\mathbb Z^d$. That is, the probability that the random walk jumps from a site $x$ to a nearest neighboring site $x+e$ is given by $p(e)+\epsilon \xi(x,e)$, where…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-11 David Campos , Alejandro F. Ramirez

This paper defines an approximation scheme for a solution of the Poisson equation of a geometrically ergodic Metropolis-Hastings chain $\Phi$. The approximations give rise to a natural sequence of control variates for the ergodic average…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Jure Vogrinc

We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-31 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

In this note we consider the finite-dimensional parameter estimation problem associated to inverse problems. In such scenarios, one seeks to maximize the marginal likelihood associated to a Bayesian model. This latter model is connected to…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-10 Ajay Jasra , Abylay Zhumekenov
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