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Estimating the unknown density from which a given independent sample originates is more difficult than estimating the mean, in the sense that for the best popular non-parametric density estimators, the mean integrated square error converges…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-08 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer , Amal Ben Abdellah

We consider a family of one-dimensional diffusions, in dynamical Wiener mediums, which are random perturbations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process. We prove quenched and annealed convergences in distribution and under weighted…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-14 Yoann Offret

Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery , Alexandros Beskos

Sequential Monte Carlo algorithms (also known as particle filters) are popular methods to approximate filtering (and related) distributions of state-space models. However, they converge at the slow $1/\sqrt{N}$ rate, which may be an issue…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-06 Nicolas Chopin , Mathieu Gerber

In a first part, we prove a Lyapunov-type criterion for the $\xi\_1$-positive recurrence of absorbed birth and death processes and provide new results on the domain of attraction of the minimal quasi-stationary distribution. In a second…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-29 Denis Villemonais

We are interested in the connection between a metastable continuous state space Markov process (satisfying e.g. the Langevin or overdamped Langevin equation) and a jump Markov process in a discrete state space. More precisely, we use the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-08 Giacomo Di Gesù , Tony Lelièvre , Dorian Le Peutrec , Boris Nectoux

This paper provides a convergence analysis for generalized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo samplers, a family of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods based on leapfrog integration of Hamiltonian dynamics and kinetic Langevin diffusion, that encompasses…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-14 Evan Camrud , Alain Durmus , Pierre Monmarché , Gabriel Stoltz

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

The objective of this review article is to present recent results on the mathematical analysis of the Accelerated Dynamics algorithms introduced by A.F. Voter in collaboration with D. Perez and M. Sorensen. Using the notion of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-01-20 Tony Lelièvre

Quantiles and expected shortfalls are usually used to measure risks of stochastic systems, which are often estimated by Monte Carlo methods. This paper focuses on the use of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method, whose convergence rate is…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-05-07 Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

We obtain non asymptotic concentration bounds for two kinds of stochastic approximations. We first consider the deviations between the expectation of a given function of the Euler scheme of some diffusion process at a fixed deterministic…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-12 Noufel Frikha , Stephane Menozzi

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

This project investigates the applicability of quasi-Monte Carlo methods to Euclidean lattice systems in order to improve the asymptotic error scaling of observables for such theories. The error of an observable calculated by averaging over…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2013-11-20 Andreas Ammon , Tobias Hartung , Karl Jansen , Hernan Leovey , Andreas Griewank , Micheal Müller-Preussker

Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

Discretized Langevin diffusions are efficient Monte Carlo methods for sampling from high dimensional target densities that are log-Lipschitz-smooth and (strongly) log-concave. In particular, the Euclidean Langevin Monte Carlo sampling…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-12 Kelvin Shuangjian Zhang , Gabriel Peyré , Jalal Fadili , Marcelo Pereyra

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

A pathwise large deviation principle in the Wasserstein topology and a pathwise central limit theorem are proved for the empirical measure of a mean-field system of interacting diffusions. The coefficients are path-dependent. The framework…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-10 Louis-Pierre Chaintron

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Langevin diffusion processes and their discretizations are often used for sampling from a target density. The most convenient framework for assessing the quality of such a sampling scheme corresponds to smooth and strongly log-concave…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Lionel Riou-Durand

In Quasi-Monte Carlo integration, the integration error is believed to be generally smaller than in classical Monte Carlo with the same number of integration points. Using an appropriate definition of an ensemble of quasi-randompoint sets,…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Jiri Hoogland , Ronald Kleiss