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We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

Importance sampling (IS) is valuable in reducing the variance of Monte Carlo sampling for many areas, including finance, rare event simulation, and Bayesian inference. It is natural and obvious to combine quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-07-21 Zhijian He , Zhan Zheng , Xiaoqun Wang

In many financial applications Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC) based on Sobol low-discrepancy sequences (LDS) outperforms Monte Carlo showing faster and more stable convergence. However, unlike MC QMC lacks a practical error estimate. Randomized…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-17 J. Hok , S. Kucherenko

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are applied to multi-level Finite Element (FE) discretizations of elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with a random coefficient, to estimate expected values of linear functionals of the solution.…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-05-16 Frances Y. Kuo , Christoph Schwab , Ian H. Sloan

This study analyzes the nonasymptotic convergence behavior of the quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method with applications to linear elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with lognormal coefficients. Building upon the error analysis…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-13 Yang Liu , Raúl Tempone

In Quasi-Monte Carlo integration, the integration error is believed to be generally smaller than in classical Monte Carlo with the same number of integration points. Using an appropriate definition of an ensemble of quasi-randompoint sets,…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Jiri Hoogland , Ronald Kleiss

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

We establish epigraphical and uniform laws of large numbers for sample-based approximations of law invariant risk functionals. These sample-based approximation schemes include Monte Carlo (MC) and certain randomized quasi-Monte Carlo…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-01 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

Quasi-Monte Carlo (qMC) methods are a powerful alternative to classical Monte-Carlo (MC) integration. Under certain conditions, they can approximate the desired integral at a faster rate than the usual Central Limit Theorem, resulting in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-11-22 Jean-Jacques Forneron

Recent advances in machine learning have led to the development of new methods for enhancing Monte Carlo methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and importance sampling (IS). One such method is normalizing flows, which use a neural…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-01-12 Charly Andral

We investigate the applicability of Quasi-Monte Carlo methods to Euclidean lattice systems for quantum mechanics in order to improve the asymptotic error behavior of observables for such theories. In most cases the error of an observable…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2013-11-19 K. Jansen , H. Leovey , A. Ammon , A. Griewank , M. Müller-Preussker

Monte Carlo (MC) and Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are classical approaches for the numerical integration of functions $f$ over $[0,1]^d$. While QMC methods can achieve faster convergence rates than MC in moderate dimensions, their…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-27 Jiaheng Chen , Haotian Jiang , Nathan Kirk

The classical approaches to numerically integrating a function $f$ are Monte Carlo (MC) and quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods. MC methods use random samples to evaluate $f$ and have error $O(\sigma(f)/\sqrt{n})$, where $\sigma(f)$ is the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-08-14 Nikhil Bansal , Haotian Jiang

This paper considers the problem of optimizing the average tracking error for an elliptic partial differential equation with an uncertain lognormal diffusion coefficient. In particular, the application of the multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-09-30 Philipp A. Guth , Andreas Van Barel

Estimating the unknown density from which a given independent sample originates is more difficult than estimating the mean, in the sense that for the best popular non-parametric density estimators, the mean integrated square error converges…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-08 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer , Amal Ben Abdellah

In this project we initiate an investigation of the applicability of Quasi-Monte Carlo methods to lattice field theories in order to improve the asymptotic error behavior of observables for such theories. In most cases the error of an…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2015-06-12 K. Jansen , H. Leovey , A. Nube , A. Griewank , M. Mueller-Preussker

Importance Sampling (IS), an effective variance reduction strategy in Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, is frequently utilized for Bayesian inference and other statistical challenges. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) replaces the random samples in MC…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-03-19 Zhijian He , Hejin Wang , Xiaoqun Wang

We describe a number of strategies for minimizing and calculating accurately the statistical uncertainty in quantum Monte Carlo calculations. We investigate the impact of the sampling algorithm on the efficiency of the variational Monte…

计算物理 · 物理学 2012-02-14 R. M. Lee , G. J. Conduit , N. Nemec , P. Lopez Rios , N. D. Drummond

Monte Carlo (MC) integration has been employed as the standard approximation method for the Sliced Wasserstein (SW) distance, whose analytical expression involves an intractable expectation. However, MC integration is not optimal in terms…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-19 Khai Nguyen , Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho