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This study introduces a general semiparametric clusterwise index distribution model to analyze how latent clusters affect the covariate-response relationships. By employing sufficient dimension reduction to account for the effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Jen-Chieh Teng , Chin-Tsang Chiang

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

We consider the problem of constructing a regression model with a functional predictor and a functional response. We extend the functional linear model to the quadratic model, where the quadratic term also takes the interaction between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-01 Hidetoshi Matsui

In a sequential auction with multiple bidding agents, it is highly challenging to determine the ordering of the items to sell in order to maximize the revenue due to the fact that the autonomy and private information of the agents heavily…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-10-16 Sicco Verwer , Yingqian Zhang , Qing Chuan Ye

Gaussian random fields (GRF) are a fundamental stochastic model for spatiotemporal data analysis. An essential ingredient of GRF is the covariance function that characterizes the joint Gaussian distribution of the field. Commonly used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Jie Chen , Michael L. Stein

Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Xin Chen , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Yin Xia , Dong Wang , Haipeng Shen

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Irene Giardina , Marc Mezard

The geometric median covariation matrix is a robust multivariate indicator of dispersion which can be extended without any difficulty to functional data. We define estimators, based on recursive algorithms, that can be simply updated at…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-12 Hervé Cardot , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as distributions of random effects in linear mixed models, which are fit using the restricted likelihood or the closely-related Bayesian analysis. This article addresses two problems. First, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-04 Maitreyee Bose , James S. Hodges , Sudipto Banerjee

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

This paper examines the problem of pricing spread options under some models with jumps driven by Compound Poisson Processes and stochastic volatilities in the form of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR) processes. We derive the characteristic function…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-09-04 Pablo Olivares , Matthew Cane

Advanced inference techniques allow one to reconstruct the pattern of interaction from high dimensional data sets. We focus here on the statistical properties of inferred models and argue that inference procedures are likely to yield models…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-10-09 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Matteo Marsili

Multiple-subject network data are fast emerging in recent years, where a separate connectivity matrix is measured over a common set of nodes for each individual subject, along with subject covariates information. In this article, we propose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-23 Jingfei Zhang , Will Wei Sun , Lexin Li

We discuss how minimal financial market models can be constructed by bridging the gap between two existing, but incomplete, market models: a model in which a population of virtual traders make decisions based on common global information…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2008-12-16 Andy Kirou , Blazej Ruszczycki , Markus Walser , Neil F. Johnson

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

This paper develops on-line inference for the multivariate local level model, with the focus being placed on covariance estimation of the innovations. We assess the application of the inverse Wishart prior distribution in this context and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Auctions for perishable goods such as internet ad inventory need to make real-time allocation and pricing decisions as the supply of the good arrives in an online manner, without knowing the entire supply in advance. These allocation and…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-10-05 Gagan Goel , Vahab Mirrokni , Renato Paes Leme

The growing demand for data and AI-generated digital goods, such as personalized written content and artwork, necessitates effective pricing and feedback mechanisms that account for uncertain utility and costly production. Motivated by…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Zachary Robertson , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

We define a generalized index of jump activity, propose estimators of that index for a discretely sampled process and derive the estimators' properties. These estimators are applicable despite the presence of Brownian volatility in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-24 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

Intermittent demand, where demand occurrences appear sporadically in time, is a common and challenging problem in forecasting. In this paper, we first make the connections between renewal processes, and a collection of current models used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Ali Caner Turkmen , Yuyang Wang , Tim Januschowski