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The estimation of voting blocs is an important statistical inquiry in political science. However, the scope of these analyses is usually restricted to roll call data where individual votes are directly observed. Here, we examine a Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-09 John D. O'Brien

Climate policy and legislation has a significant influence on both domestic and global responses to the pressing environmental challenges of our time. The effectiveness of such climate legislation is closely tied to the complex dynamics…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-05-16 Andrew Jacoby , Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Aditi Ghosh , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

We consider the problem of multi-choice majority voting in a network of $n$ agents where each agent initially selects a choice from a set of $K$ possible choices. The agents try to infer the choice in majority merely by performing local…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2019-07-17 Hamidreza Bandealinaeini , Saber Salehkaleybar

Ensuring legislative accountability in multi-party systems requires quantitative tools that reveal actual voting behavior beyond formal party affiliations. We present a network-based framework for analyzing parliamentary dynamics at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-05 Francesca Collu , Antonio Scala , Emilia La Nave

In this paper, a Bayesian spatial voting model is applied for the first time to characterize the legislative behavior of the Senate of the Republic of Colombia for the period 2006-2010. The analysis is carried out based on the plenary…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-01 Juan Valero , Juan Sosa , Carolina Luque

Recent experiments in adult mammalian tissues have found scaling relations of the voter model in the dynamics of the genetically labeled population of stem cells. Yet, the reason for this seemingly robust appearance of the voter model…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-03-08 Hiroki Yamaguchi , Kyogo Kawaguchi

Understanding the nature of strategic voting is the holy grail of social choice theory, where game-theory, social science and recently computational approaches are all applied in order to model the incentives and behavior of voters. In a…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2014-11-19 Reshef Meir

Multiwinner voting captures a wide variety of settings, from parliamentary elections in democratic systems to product placement in online shopping platforms. There is a large body of work dealing with axiomatic characterizations,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Edith Elkind , Svetlana Obraztsova , Nicholas Teh

Plurality and approval voting are two well-known voting systems with different strengths and weaknesses. In this paper we consider a new voting system we call beta(k) which allows voters to select a single first-choice candidate and approve…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-02 Peter Butler , Jerry Lin

Merit based promotion & tenure decision have always been controversial. This paper suggests an agent based model of the decision making processs using spectral graph theory, where the voting agents are the vertices of the graph, and edge…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-11-30 Sanjoy Das

Formal verification of multi-agent systems is hard, both theoretically and in practice. In particular, studies that use a single verification technique typically show limited efficiency, and allow to verify only toy examples. Here, we…

We introduce an agent-based model for co-evolving opinion and social dynamics, under the influence of multiplicative noise. In this model, every agent is characterized by a position in a social space and a continuous opinion state variable.…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-10-05 Natasa Djurdjevac Conrad , Jonas Köppl , Ana Djurdjevac

The median voter theorem has long been the default model of voter behavior and candidate choice. While contemporary work on the distribution of political opinion has emphasized polarization and an increasing gap between the "left" and the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-25 Matthew I. Jones , Antonio D. Sirianni , Feng Fu

We consider a two-round election model involving $m$ voters and $n$ candidates. Each voter is endowed with a strict preference list ranking the candidates. In the first round, the candidates are partitioned into two subsets, $A$ and $B$,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Emilio De Santis , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Verdiana Mustaro

We analyze the evolution of political organizations using a model in which agents change their opinions via two competing mechanisms. Two agents may interact and reach consensus, and additionally, individual agents may spontaneously change…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim

We hypothesize that if election results are manipulated or forged, then, due to the well-known human attraction to round numbers, the frequency of reported round percentages can be increased. To test this hypothesis, we analyzed raw data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-06-30 Dmitry Kobak , Sergey Shpilkin , Maxim S. Pshenichnikov

The adaptive voter model allows for studying the interplay between homophily, the tendency of like-minded individuals to attract each other, and social influence, the tendency for connected individuals to influence each other. However, it…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-03-21 Nikos Papanikolaou , Renaud Lambiotte , Giacomo Vaccario

A most debated topic of the last years is whether simple statistical physics models can explain collective features of social dynamics. A necessary step in this line of endeavour is to find regularities in data referring to large scale…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Santo Fortunato , Claudio Castellano

We examine an opinion formation model, which is a mixture of Voter and Ising agents. Numerical simulations show that even a very small fraction ($\sim 1\%$) of the Ising agents drastically changes the behaviour of the Voter model. The Voter…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-10-25 Adam Lipowski , Dorota Lipowska , Antonio L. Ferreira

Democracies employ elections at various scales to select officials at the corresponding levels of administration. The geographical distribution of political opinion, the policy issues delegated to each level, and the multilevel interactions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-03 Sihao Huang , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Andrew Gelman