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In district-based multi-party elections, electors cast votes in their respective districts. In each district, the party with maximum votes wins the corresponding seat in the governing body. Election Surveys try to predict the election…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Adway Mitra , Palash Dey

Voting rules based on evaluation inputs rather than preference orders have been recently proposed, like majority judgement, range voting or approval voting. Traditionally, probabilistic analysis of voting rules supposes the use of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-04-19 Antoine Rolland , Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Irène Gannaz , Samuela Leoni

Human dynamics and sociophysics suggest statistical models that may explain and provide us with a better understanding of social phenomena. Here we propose a generative multiplicative decrease model that gives rise to a rank-order…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-15 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

Proponents of participatory democracy praise Liquid Democracy: decisions are taken by referendum, but voters delegate their votes freely. When better informed voters are present, delegation can increase the probability of a correct…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-24 Victoria Mooers , Joseph Campbell , Alessandra Casella , Lucas de Lara , Dilip Ravindran

We discuss voting scenarios in which the set of voters (agents) and the set of alternatives are the same; that is, voters select a single representative from among themselves. Such a scenario happens, for instance, when a committee selects…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Yakov Babichenko , Oren Dean , Moshe Tennenholtz

Dispersal is often used by living beings to gather information from conspecifics, integrating it with personal experience to guide decision-making. This mechanism has only recently been studied experimentally, facilitated by advancements in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-03-03 Daniela Molas , Daniel Campos

In the past, the Voter Model has been explicitly used to model the impact of propaganda on a dynamic, interconnected population, and certain factors have been identified that influence the behavior of voters when under outside influence.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-10-14 Renee Jerome

A voting center is in charge of collecting and aggregating voter preferences. In an iterative process, the center sends comparison queries to voters, requesting them to submit their preference between two items. Voters might discuss the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-09-24 Lihi Dery , Svetlana Obraztsova , Zinovi Rabinovich , Meir Kalech

We survey the design of elections that are resilient to attempted interference by third parties. For example, suppose votes have been cast in an election between two candidates, and then each vote is randomly changed with a small…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-13 Steven Heilman

In this paper, we discuss the possible generalizations of the Social Influence with Recurrent Mobility (SIRM) model developed in Phys. Rev. Lett. 112, 158701 (2014). Although the SIRM model worked approximately satisfying when US election…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-06-27 Jérôme Michaud , Attila Szilva

Since Downs proposed that the act of voting is irrational in 1957, myriad models have been proposed to explain voting and account for observed turnout patterns. We propose a model in which partisans consider both the instrumental and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-03-24 Cameron Guage , Feng Fu

We investigate the dynamics of the choice of an active strategy in the minority game. A history distribution is introduced as an analytical tool to study the asymmetry between the two choices offered to the agents. Its properties are…

adap-org · 物理学 2009-10-31 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

The recent availability of huge high resolution datasets on human activities has revealed the heavy-tailed nature of the interevent time distributions. In social simulations of interacting agents the standard approach has been to use…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-06-24 Juan Fernández-Gracia , Víctor M. Eguíluz , Maxi San Miguel

A core tension in the study of plurality elections is the clash between the classic Hotelling-Downs model, which predicts that two office-seeking candidates should position themselves at the median voter's policy, and the empirical…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Kiran Tomlinson , Tanvi Namjoshi , Johan Ugander , Jon Kleinberg

As granular data about elections and voters become available, redistricting simulation methods are playing an increasingly important role when legislatures adopt redistricting plans and courts determine their legality. These simulation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Benjamin Fifield , Kosuke Imai , Jun Kawahara , Christopher T. Kenny

The flourishing of fake news is favored by recommendation algorithms of online social networks which, based on previous users activity, provide content adapted to their preferences and so create filter bubbles. We introduce an analytically…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-28 Giordano De Marzo , Andrea Zaccaria , Claudio Castellano

We study the Shapley value in weighted voting games. The Shapley value has been used as an index for measuring the power of individual agents in decision-making bodies and political organizations, where decisions are made by a majority vote…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-08-05 Joel Oren , Yuval Filmus , Yair Zick , Yoram Bachrach

In this study, we propose a mechanical model of a plurality election based on a mean field voter model. We assume that there are three candidates in each electoral district, i.e., one from the ruling party, one from the main opposition…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-02 Fumiaki Sano , Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

We introduce multi-population opinion dynamics models linked to the bounded confidence model, aiming to explore how interactions between individuals contribute to the emergence of consensus, polarization, or fragmentation. Existing models…

Phenomena which involves collective choice of many agents who are interacting with each other and choosing one of several alternatives, based on the limited information available to them, frequently show switching between two distinct…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Sitabhra Sinha , S. Raghavendra