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This paper presents a novel approach to Bayesian nonparametric spectral analysis of stationary multivariate time series. Starting with a parametric vector-autoregressive model, the parametric likelihood is nonparametrically adjusted in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-10 Yixuan Liu , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

Various nonparametric approaches for Bayesian spectral density estimation of stationary time series have been suggested in the literature, mostly based on the Whittle likelihood approximation. A generalization of this approximation has been…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-12 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

We present a new Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the spectral density of a stationary time series. A nonparametric prior based on a mixture of B-spline distributions is specified and can be regarded as a generalization of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-28 Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer , Nelson Christensen

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

Bayesian inference for stationary random fields is computationally demanding. Whittle-type likelihoods in the frequency domain based on the fast Fourier Transform (FFT) have several appealing features: i) low computational complexity of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-30 Thomas Goodwin , Arthur Guillaumin , Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

In time series analysis there is an apparent dichotomy between time and frequency domain methods. The aim of this paper is to draw connections between frequency and time domain methods. Our focus will be on reconciling the Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-30 Suhasini Subba Rao , Junho Yang

We introduce a density basis of the trigonometric polynomials that is suitable to mixture modelling. Statistical and geometric properties are derived, suggesting it as a circular analogue to the Bernstein polynomial densities. Nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-26 Olivier Binette , Simon Guillotte

This article proposes a Bayesian approach to estimating the spectral density of a stationary time series using a prior based on a mixture of P-spline distributions. Our proposal is motivated by the B-spline Dirichlet process prior of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-28 Patricio Maturana-Russel , Renate Meyer

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

The Whittle likelihood is a widely used and computationally efficient pseudo-likelihood. However, it is known to produce biased parameter estimates for large classes of models. We propose a method for de-biasing Whittle estimates for…

The standard noise model in gravitational wave (GW) data analysis assumes detector noise is stationary and Gaussian distributed, with a known power spectral density (PSD) that is usually estimated using clean off-source data. Real GW data…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-09-16 Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer , Nelson Christensen

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to multivariate time-varying power spectrum analysis. The procedure adaptively partitions a time series into an unknown number of approximately stationary segments, where some spectral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-28 Zeda Li , Robert T. Krafty

From a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametrical estimator for the spectral density of a Gaussian process with stationary increments. First, the idealistic case of a continuous time path of the process is considered. A punctual…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-07-03 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand , Véronique Billat

Empirical likelihood method has been applied to dependent observations by Monti (1997) through the Whittle's estimation method. Similar asymptotic distribution of the empirical likelihood ratio statistic for stationary time series has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-01 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning , Arjun K. Gupta

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik
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