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The Multilevel Monte Carlo method is an efficient variance reduction technique. It uses a sequence of coarse approximations to reduce the computational cost in uncertainty quantification applications. The method is nowadays often considered…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-15 Pieterjan Robbe , Dirk Nuyens , Stefan Vandewalle

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behavior for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic dynamical systems. Firstly, we obtain a central limit type theorem, i.e, the deviation between the slow component $X^{\varepsilon}$ and the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-02 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Xiaobin Sun

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters, constitute a class of algorithms used to approximate expectations with respect to a sequence of probability distributions as well as the normalising constants of those…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Axel Finke , Arnaud Doucet , Adam M. Johansen

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) requires to evaluate the full data likelihood at different parameter values iteratively and is often computationally infeasible for large data sets. In this paper, we propose to approximate the log-likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-26 Guanyu Hu , HaiYing Wang

By adopting a Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) framework, we show that only a handful of costly fine scale computations are needed to accurately estimate statistics of the failure of a composite structure, as opposed to the thousands typically…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-25 T. J. Dodwell , S. Kinston , R. Butler , R. T. Haftka , Nam H. Kim , R. Scheichl

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Efficient Monte Carlo (MC) sampling of many-body systems with long-range electrostatics is often limited by the cost of per-move energy-difference evaluation under periodic boundary conditions. We present DMK-MC, an accelerated MC method…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-01-15 Xuanzhao Gao , Shidong Jiang , Jiuyang Liang , Qi Zhou

Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

General elliptic equations with spatially discontinuous diffusion coefficients may be used as a simplified model for subsurface flow in heterogeneous or fractured porous media. In such a model, data sparsity and measurement errors are often…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-08-29 Andrea Barth , Robin Merkle

Stochastic Galerkin methods offer unexplored potential for the numerical simulation of parabolic problems with random variables, in particular if they are combined with variational discretizations of the space and time variables. Due to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-21 Moataz Dawor , Nils Margenberg , Markus Bause

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

Classical algorithms in numerical analysis for numerical integration (quadrature/cubature) follow the principle of approximate and integrate: the integrand is approximated by a simple function (e.g. a polynomial), which is then integrated…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-15 Yuji Nakatsukasa

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

We propose a variance reduction framework for variational inference using the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method. Our framework is built on reparameterized gradient estimators and "recycles" parameters obtained from past update history in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Masahiro Fujisawa , Issei Sato

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) provide a mathematical description of the behavior of an infinite number of interacting particles by imposing a dependence on the particle density. As such, we study the influence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-16 Haoming Yang , Ali Hasan , Yuting Ng , Vahid Tarokh

We study the convergence of the empirical measure of moderately interacting particle systems subject to singular forces derived by Lennard-Jones potential. Although the classical Lennard-Jones force is widely used in molecular dynamics,…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-30 Ernesto M. Greco , Daniela Morale

Statistical signal processing applications usually require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. These estimates are typically obtained either by solving a multi-variate optimization problem, as in the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-27 D. Luengo , L. Martino , M. Bugallo , V. Elvira , S. Särkkä
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