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The multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation method introduced by Giles ({\it Operations Research}, 56(3):607-617, 2008) exploits strong convergence properties to improve the computational complexity by combining simulations with different…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-02 Michael B. Giles , Kristian Debrabant , Andreas Rößler

We prove bounds on the variance of a function $f$ under the empirical measure of the samples obtained by the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm, with time complexity depending on local rather than global Markov chain mixing dynamics.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-18 Holden Lee , Matheau Santana-Gijzen

In the field of computational finance, one is commonly interested in the expected value of a financial derivative whose payoff depends on the solution of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). For multi-dimensional SDEs with…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-09-12 Chenxu Pang , Xiaojie Wang

This paper considers the problem of optimizing the average tracking error for an elliptic partial differential equation with an uncertain lognormal diffusion coefficient. In particular, the application of the multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-09-30 Philipp A. Guth , Andreas Van Barel

In this paper, we examine the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) procedure within a framework where the Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation is biased. We also introduce Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) in the SAA setup to enhance the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-29 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

We develop a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) framework for uncertainty quantification with Monte Carlo dropout. Treating dropout masks as a source of epistemic randomness, we define a fidelity hierarchy by the number of stochastic forward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Aaron Pim , Tristan Pryer

We consider a class of finite time horizon nonlinear stochastic optimal control problem, where the control acts additively on the dynamics and the control cost is quadratic. This framework is flexible and has found applications in many…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-26 Ajay Jasra , Jeremy Heng , Yaxian Xu , Adrian N. Bishop

Monte Carlo is a simple and flexible tool that is widely used in computational finance. In this context, it is common for the quantity of interest to be the expected value of a random variable defined via a stochastic differential equation.…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-05-06 Desmond J. Higham

We develop algorithms for computing expectations of the laws of models associated to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by pure L\'evy processes. We consider filtering such processes and well as pricing of path dependent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Prince Peprah Osei

In this paper, we evaluate the performance of the multilevel Monte Carlo method (MLMC) for deterministic and uncertain hyperbolic systems, where randomness is introduced either in the modeling parameters or in the approximation algorithms.…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-01-04 Junpeng Hu , Shi Jin , Jinglai Li , Lei Zhang

In this article we develop a multi-grid multi-level Monte Carlo (MGMLMC) method for the stochastic Stokes-Darcy interface model with random hydraulic conductivity both in the porous media domain and on the interface. Because the randomness…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-07 Zhipeng Yang , Xiaoming He , Li Zhang , Ju Ming

We study approximations of the partition function of dense graphical models. Partition functions of graphical models play a fundamental role is statistical physics, in statistics and in machine learning. Two of the main methods for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-21 Vishesh Jain , Frederic Koehler , Elchanan Mossel

We propose a Multi-level Monte Carlo technique to accelerate Monte Carlo sampling for approximation of properties of materials with random defects. The computational efficiency is investigated on test problems given by tight-binding models…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-11-30 Petr Plecháč , Erik von Schwerin

I consider the problem of integrating a function $f$ over the $d$-dimensional unit cube. I describe a multilevel Monte Carlo method that estimates the integral with variance at most $\epsilon^{2}$ in $O(d+\ln(d)d_{t}\epsilon^{-2})$ time,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-21 Nabil Kahalé

The Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method is widely employed for simulating rarefied nonequilibrium gas flows. With advances in aerospace engineering and micro/nano-scale technologies, gas flows exhibit the coexistence of rarefied and…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-07-01 Hao Jin , Sha Liu , Sirui Yang , Junzhe Cao , Congshan Zhuo , Chengwen Zhong

In this article, we consider multilevel Monte Carlo for the numerical computation of expectations for stochastic differential equations driven by L\'{e}vy processes. The underlying numerical schemes are based on jump-adapted Euler schemes.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-02 Steffen Dereich , Sangmeng Li

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Recently, Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) methods have been proposed for scaling up Monte Carlo computations to large data problems. Whilst these approaches have proven useful in many applications, vanilla SG-MCMC…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-13 Umut Şimşekli , Roland Badeau , A. Taylan Cemgil , Gaël Richard

Stochastic PDE eigenvalue problems often arise in the field of uncertainty quantification, whereby one seeks to quantify the uncertainty in an eigenvalue, or its eigenfunction. In this paper we present an efficient multilevel quasi-Monte…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-07 Alexander D. Gilbert , Robert Scheichl