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Because of their tractability and their natural interpretations in term of market quantities, Hawkes processes are nowadays widely used in high-frequency finance. However, in practice, the statistical estimation results seem to show that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-13 Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This paper introduces the Neural Network for Nonlinear Hawkes processes (NNNH), a non-parametric method based on neural networks to fit nonlinear Hawkes processes. Our method is suitable for analyzing large datasets in which events exhibit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

Multivariate point processes are widely applied to model event-type data such as natural disasters, online message exchanges, financial transactions or neuronal spike trains. One very popular point process model in which the probability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We consider a nonlinear multivariate Hawkes process having a variable length memory which allows to describe the activity of a neuronal network by its membrane potential. We propose a graphical construction of the process and we construct,…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Branda Goncalves , Paul Gresland

The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process with clustering effect whose intensity depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in neuroscience, finance and many other fields. In this paper, we obtain a functional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

Semi-Markov processes generalize Markov processes by adding temporal memory effects as expressed by a semi-Markov kernel. We recall the path weight for a semi-Markov trajectory and the fact that thermodynamic consistency in equilibrium…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-04-15 Benjamin Ertel , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

We study the problem of solving fixed-point equations for seminorm-contractive operators and establish foundational results on the non-asymptotic behavior of iterative algorithms in both deterministic and stochastic settings. Specifically,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Zaiwei Chen , Sheng Zhang , Zhe Zhang , Shaan Ul Haque , Siva Theja Maguluri

In this paper, we build a model for biological neural nets where the activity of the network is described by Hawkes processes having a variable length memory. The particularity of this paper is to deal with an infinite number of components.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-18 Pierre Hodara , Eva Löcherbach

We generalize Holley-Stroock's perturbation argument from commutative to quantum Markov semigroups. As a consequence, results on (complete) modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities and logarithmic Sobolev inequalities for self-adjoint…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-12-16 Marius Junge , Nicholas LaRacuente , Cambyse Rouzé

The Hawkes process models self-exciting event streams, requiring a strictly non-negative and stable stochastic intensity. Standard identification methods enforce these properties using non-negative causal bases, yielding conservative…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Xinhui Rong , Girish N. Nair

We address a class of Markov jump linear systems that are characterized by the underlying Markov process being time-inhomogeneous with a priori unknown transition probabilities. Necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform stochastic…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-11-24 Collin C. Lutz , Daniel J. Stilwell

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-18 Lingjiong Zhu

This review concerns recent results on the quantitative study of convergence towards the stationary state for spatially inhomogeneous kinetic equations. We focus on analytical results obtained by means of certain probabilistic techniques…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-04-05 Havva Yoldaş

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components, both in discrete and continuous time. Each component is represented by a point process indicating if it has a spike or not at a given…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2015-02-24 A. Galves , E. Löcherbach

In this paper we study the ergodicity and the related semigroup property for a class of symmetric Markov jump processes associated with time changed symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes. For this purpose, explicit and sharp criteria for…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-19 Zhen-Qing Chen , Jian Wang

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Multivariate Hawkes processes are a widely used class of self-exciting point processes, but maximum likelihood estimation naively scales as $O(N^2)$ in the number of events. The canonical linear exponential Hawkes process admits a faster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Ahmer Raza , Hudson Smith

We give a necessary and sufficient condition for a homogeneous Markov process taking values in $\R^n$ to enjoy the time-inversion property of degree $\alpha$. The condition sets the shape for the semigroup densities of the process and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Stephan Lawi

Monte Carlo simulations of systems of particles such as hard spheres or soft spheres with singular kernels can display around a phase transition prohibitively long convergence times when using traditional Hasting-Metropolis reversible…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-10-10 Athina Monemvassitis , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel