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Hawkes point processes are first-order non-Markovian stochastic models of intermittent bursty dynamics with applications to physical, seismic, epidemic, biological, financial, and social systems. While accounting for positive feedback loops…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-02-02 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette

Semi-Markov processes represent a well known and widely used class of random processes in classical probability theory. Here, we develop an extension of this type of non-Markovian dynamics to the quantum regime. This extension is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-04-30 Heinz-Peter Breuer , Bassano Vacchini

A stable-like Markov chain is a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with the transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law decay with exponent $\alpha(x)+1$, where…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-01 Nikola Sandrić

Non-Markovian dynamics arise when a system is coupled to a bath with finite correlation time, giving rise to memory effects that allow the bath to temporarily store and return excitations. However, how memory modifies irreversibility and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-29 Ken Funo , Tan Van Vu , Keiji Saito

Multivariate Hawkes processes are past-dependant point processes originally introduced to model excitation effects, later extended to a nonlinear framework to account for the opposite effect, known as inhibition. Motivated by applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Sacha Quayle , Anna Bonnet , Maxime Sangnier

Filter stability is a classical problem in the study of partially observed Markov processes (POMP), also known as hidden Markov models (HMM). For a POMP, an incorrectly initialized non-linear filter is said to be (asymptotically) stable if…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-22 Curtis McDonald , Serdar Yuksel

We define a numerical method that provides a non-parametric estimation of the kernel shape in symmetric multivariate Hawkes processes. This method relies on second order statistical properties of Hawkes processes that relate the covariance…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-06-03 E. Bacry , K. Dayri , J. F. Muzy

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

性能 · 计算机科学 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we study parametric nonlinear regression under the Harris recurrent Markov chain framework. We first consider the nonlinear least squares estimators of the parameters in the homoskedastic case, and establish asymptotic theory…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-15 Degui Li , Dag Tjøstheim , Jiti Gao

We design a new nonparametric method that allows one to estimate the matrix of integrated kernels of a multivariate Hawkes process. This matrix not only encodes the mutual influences of each nodes of the process, but also disentangles the…

Quantum systems interacting with an unknown environment are notoriously difficult to model, especially in presence of non-Markovian and non-perturbative effects. Here we introduce a neural network based approach, which has the mathematical…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-01-16 Leonardo Banchi , Edward Grant , Andrea Rocchetto , Simone Severini

Concepts like `typicality' and the `eigenstate thermalization hypothesis' aim at explaining the apparent equilibration of quantum systems, possibly after a very long time. However, these concepts are not concerned with the specific way in…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-12-12 Lars Knipschild , Jochen Gemmer

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

We develop criteria for recurrence and transience of one-dimensional Markov processes which have jumps and oscillate between $+\infty$ and $-\infty$. The conditions are based on a Markov chain which only consists of jumps (overshoots) of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-17 Björn Böttcher

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We obtain general weak existence and stability results for stochastic convolution equations with jumps under mild regularity assumptions, allowing for non-Lipschitz coefficients and singular kernels. Our approach relies on weak convergence…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-22 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Christa Cuchiero , Martin Larsson , Sergio Pulido

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Under continuity and recurrence assumptions, we prove that the iteration of successive partial symmetrizations that form a time-homogeneous Markov process, converges to a symmetrization. We cover several settings, including the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-21 Justin Dekeyser , Jean Van Schaftingen