中文
相关论文

相关论文: Lower bounds on binomial and Poisson tails: an app…

200 篇论文

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

An explicit upper bound on the tail probabilities for the normalized Rademacher sums is given. This bound, which is best possible in a certain sense, is asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding tail probability of the standard normal…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We consider regularly varying random vectors. Our goal is to estimate in a non-parametric way some characteristics related to conditioning on an extreme event, like the tail dependence coefficient. We introduce a quasi-spectral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-26 Rafał Kulik , Zhigang Tong

We study the maximum of the random assignment process on rectangular matrices. We derive first-order asymptotics for the expected maximum, prove a law of large numbers under mild tail assumptions, and obtain exponential upper bounds for the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Timofey Moskalenko

To consider a high-dimensional random process, we propose a notion about stochastic tensor-valued random process (TRP). In this work, we first attempt to apply a generic chaining method to derive tail bounds for all p-th moments of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-02 Shih-Yu Chang

Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky

We present a procedure for calculating an upper limit on the number of signal events which incorporates the Poisson uncertainty in the background, estimated from control regions of one or two dimensions. For small number of signal events,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-26 K. K. Gan

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent nonnegative random variables (r.v.'s), with $S_n:=X_1+\dots+X_n$ and finite values of $s_i:=E X_i^2$ and $m_i:=E X_i>0$. Exact upper bounds on $E f(S_n)$ for all functions $f$ in a certain class…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We provide bounds on the tail probabilities for simple procedures that generate random samples _without replacement_, when the probabilities of being selected need not be equal.

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-07 Dean P. Foster , Sergiu Hart

We derive exponential bounds for tail of distribution for natural, i.e. under ordinary logarithm, normalized sums of arrays of random variables, not necessarily independent.

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several…

概率论 · 数学 2009-03-18 Andrew Richards

We consider a type of random processes which satisfies the conditional increment condition and obtain an estimate for the tail probability and a Doob-type inequality of the maximum of the process. The main result is that, for processes…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-21 Xuan Liu

Although there is an extensive literature on the maxima of Gaussian processes, there are relatively few non-asymptotic bounds on their lower-tail probabilities. The aim of this paper is to develop such a bound, while also allowing for many…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-02 Miles E. Lopes , Junwen Yao

This is Part II of our work about random tensor inequalities and tail bounds for bivariate random tensor means. After reviewing basic facts about random tensors, we first consider tail bounds with more general connection functions. Then, a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-08 Shih-Yu Chang

In this paper we are concerned with a sample of asymptotically independent risks. Tail asymptotic probabilities for linear combinations of randomly weighted order statistics are approximated under various assumptions, where the individual…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Alexandru V. Asimit , Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

A procedure to include the uncertainty on the background estimate for upper limit calculations using Poissonian sampling is presented for the case where a Gaussian assumption on the uncertainty can be made. Under that hypothesis an analytic…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Luca Lista

We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota