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相关论文: Lower bounds on binomial and Poisson tails: an app…

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We provide a lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable is exceeding its mean. Our proof employs estimates on the mean absolute deviation and the tail conditional expectation of binomial random variables.

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-22 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

We give the proof of a tight lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable exceeds its expected value. The inequality plays an important role in a variety of contexts, including the analysis of relative deviation bounds in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-11-12 Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

We derive simple but nearly tight upper and lower bounds for the binomial lower tail probability (with straightforward generalization to the upper tail probability) that apply to the whole parameter regime. These bounds are easy to compute…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-04 Huangjun Zhu , Zihao Li , Masahito Hayashi

We provide finite sample upper and lower bounds on the Binomial tail probability which are a direct application of Sanov's theorem. We then use these to obtain high probability upper and lower bounds on the minimum of i.i.d. Binomial random…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-27 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

In this paper, I present a completely new type of upper and lower bounds on the right-tail probabilities of continuous random variables with unbounded support and with semi-bounded support from the left. The presented upper and lower…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Nikola Zlatanov

We establish an upper bound on the tails of a random variable that arises as a solution of a stochastic difference equation. In the non--negative case our bound is similar to a lower bound obtained by Goldie and Gr\"ubel in 1996.

概率论 · 数学 2011-01-12 Pawel Hitczenko

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

概率论 · 数学 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We show bounds on tail probabilities for quadratic forms in sub-gaussian non-necessarily independent random variables. Our main tool will be estimates of the Luxemburg norms of such forms. This will allow us to formulate the above-mentioned…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Krzysztof Zajkowski

We obtain decay rates of probabilities of tails of polynomials in several independent random variables with heavy tails and derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of such polynomials

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

Let $S$ and $X$ be independent random variables, assuming values in the set of non-negative integers, and suppose further that both $\mathbb{E}(S)$ and $\mathbb{E}(X)$ are integers satisfying $\mathbb{E}(S)\ge \mathbb{E}(X)$. We establish a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-31 Robbert Fokkink , Symeon Papavassiliou , Christos Pelekis

We derive new upper and lower bounds for probabilities that $r$ or at least $r$ from $n$ events occur. These bounds can turn to equalities. The method is discussed as well. It works for measurable space and measures with sign, too. We also…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-12 Andrei N. Frolov

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden
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