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In this article we study intrusive uncertainty quantification schemes for systems of conservation laws with uncertainty. Standard intrusive methods lead to oscillatory solutions which sometimes even cause the loss of hyperbolicity. We…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-25 Jonas Kusch , Louisa Schlachter

A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

The Method of Moments [Pea94] is one of the most widely used methods in statistics for parameter estimation, by means of solving the system of equations that match the population and estimated moments. However, in practice and especially…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-16 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

This paper proposes a novel uncertainty quantification framework for computationally demanding systems characterized by a large vector of non-Gaussian uncertainties. It combines state-of-the-art techniques in advanced Monte Carlo sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-05 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

We present a novel approach to determine the evolution of level sets under uncertainties in the velocity fields. This leads to a stochastic description of the level sets. To compute the quantiles of random level sets, we use the stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-10 Markus Bambach , Stephan Gerster , Michael Herty , Aleksey Sikstel

Compressive sensing has become a powerful addition to uncertainty quantification when only limited data is available. In this paper we provide a general framework to enhance the sparsity of the representation of uncertainty in the form of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-11-28 Xiu Yang , Xiaoliang Wan , Lin Lin , Huan Lei

Polynomial Chaos Expansions represent a powerful tool to simulate stochastic models of dynamical systems. Yet, deriving the expansion's coefficients for complex systems might require a significant and non-trivial manipulation of the model,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-13 Lorenzo Fagiano , Mustafa Khammash

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

We present an approach to the simulation of quantum systems driven by classical stochastic processes that is based on the polynomial chaos expansion, a well-known technique in the field of uncertainty quantification. The polynomial chaos…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-12-17 Kevin C. Young , Matthew D. Grace

More than 23 million people are suffered by Heart failure worldwide. Despite the modern transplant operation is well established, the lack of heart donations becomes a big restriction on transplantation frequency. With respect to this…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2017-06-29 Chen Song , Vincent Heuveline

In the study of gas dynamics, theoretical modeling and numerical simulation are mostly set up with deterministic settings. Given the coarse-grained modeling in theories of fluids, considerable uncertainties may exist between flow-field…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-07 Tianbai Xiao

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

A high-resolution Eulerian method for simulating high-speed polydisperse granular multiphase flows has been developed. The governing equations include a compressible gas that is coupled to mass-based moment equations for a polydisperse…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-03-17 Jacob W. Posey , Rodney O. Fox , Ryan W. Houim

In the last few decades, uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods have been used widely to ensure the robustness of engineering designs. This chapter aims to detail recent advances in popular uncertainty quantification methods used in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Dinesh Kumar , Farid Ahmed , Shoaib Usman , Ayodeji Alajo , Syed Alam

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

We present an enriched formulation of the Least Squares (LSQ) regression method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) using generalised polynomial chaos (gPC). More specifically, we enrich the linear system with additional equations for the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-09 Kyriakos D. Kantarakias , George Papadakis

Many unsteady flows exhibiting complex dynamics are nevertheless characterized by emergent large-scale coherence in space and time. Reduced-order models based on Galerkin projection of the governing equations onto an orthogonal modal basis…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-06-28 Jared L. Callaham , Jean-Christophe Loiseau , Steven L. Brunton

A computational method based on the non-linear Gaussian process (GP), known as deep Gaussian processes (deep GPs) for uncertainty quantification & propagation in modelling of flow through heterogeneous porous media is presented. The method…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-06 A. Daneshkhah , O. Chatrabgoun , M. Esmaeilbeigi , T. Sedighi , S. Abolfathi

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci