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In this paper we derive novel change of variable formulas for stochastic integrals w.r.t. a time-changed Brownian motion where we assume that the time-change is a general increasing stochastic process with finitely many jumps in a bounded…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-04 Giulia Di Nunno , Hannes Haferkorn , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

Shot-Noise processes constitute a useful tool in various areas, in particular in finance. They allow to model abrupt changes in a more flexible way than processes with jumps and hence are an ideal tool for modelling stock prices, credit…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-01-01 Thorsten Schmidt

This note continues investigation of randomness-type properties emerging in idealized financial markets with continuous price processes. It is shown, without making any probabilistic assumptions, that the strong variation exponent of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-11-25 Vladimir Vovk

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-09-20 Xin Liu

We consider the supOU stochastic volatility model which is able to exhibit long-range dependence. For this model we give conditions for the discounted stock price to be a martingale, calculate the characteristic function, give a strip where…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-04-08 Robert Stelzer , Jovana Zavišin

For a real Borel measurable function b, which satisfies certain integrability conditions, it is possible to define a stochastic integral of the process b(Y) with respect to a Brownian motion W, where Y is a diffusion driven by W. It is well…

概率论 · 数学 2010-10-06 Aleksandar Mijatović , Nika Novak , Mikhail Urusov

Recent studies have identified long-range dependence as a key feature in the dynamics of both mortality and interest rates. Building on this insight, we develop a novel bi-variate stochastic framework based on mixed fractional Brownian…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-26 Kenneth Q. Zhou , Hongjuan Zhou

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

Let $(Z_t)_{t\geq 0}$ denote the derivative martingale of branching Brownian motion, i.e.\@ the derivative with respect to the inverse temperature of the normalized partition function at critical temperature. A well-known result by Lalley…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Michel Pain

The present paper proposes a new framework for describing the stock price dynamics. In the traditional geometric Brownian motion model and its variants, volatility plays a vital role. The modern studies of asset pricing expand around…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-10-12 Ben Duan , Yutian Li , Dawei Lu , Yang Lu , Ran Zhang

We consider the estimation of binary election outcomes as martingales and propose an arbitrage pricing when one continuously updates estimates. We argue that the estimator needs to be priced as a binary option as the arbitrage valuation…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-07-03 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We obtain option pricing formulas for stock price models in which the drift and volatility terms are functionals of a continuous history of the stock prices. That is, the stock dynamics follows a nonlinear stochastic functional differential…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-11-17 Flavia Sancier , Salah Mohammed

When the \textit{martingale representation property} holds, we call any local martingale which realizes the representation a \textit{representation process}. There are two properties of the \textit{representation process} which can greatly…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-18 Shiqi Song

The trade of a fixed stock can be regarded as the basic process that measures its momentary price. The stock price is exactly known only at the time of sale when the stock is between traders, that is, only in the case when the owner is…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-12-12 Liviu-Adrian Cotfas

It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-08 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper we consider a new mathematical extension of the Black-Scholes model in which the stochastic time and stock share price evolution is described by two independent random processes. The parent process is Brownian, and the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

We consider the Black--Scholes model of financial market modified to capture the stochastic nature of volatility observed at real financial markets. For volatility driven by the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process, we establish the existence of…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-10-08 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura

This study deals with the problem of pricing compound options when the underlying asset follows a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps. An analytic formula for compound options is derived under the risk neutral measure. Then, these…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-04-09 Foad Shokrollahi

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

The aim of this paper is to present a simple stochastic model that accounts for the effects of a long-memory in volatility on option pricing. The starting point is the stochastic Black-Scholes equation involving volatility with long-range…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Abby Tan