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Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

This paper considers extreme values attained by a centered, multidimensional Gaussian process $X(t)= (X_1(t),\ldots,X_n(t))$ minus drift $d(t)=(d_1(t),\ldots,d_n(t))$, on an arbitrary set $T$. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish…

In this paper we discuss the asymptotic behaviour of random contractions $X=RS$, where $R$, with distribution function $F$, is a positive random variable independent of $S\in (0,1)$. Random contractions appear naturally in insurance and…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva , Anthony G. Pakes , Qihe Tang

We consider the clustering of extremes for stationary regularly varying random fields over arbitrary growing index sets. We study sufficient assumptions on the index set such that the limit of the point random fields of the exceedances…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-23 Riccardo Passeggeri , Olivier Wintenberger

Let $\eta=(\eta(t))_{t\in T}$ be a sample continuous max-infinitely random field on a locally compact metric space $T$. For a closed subset $S\in T$, we note $\eta_{S}$ the restriction of $\eta$ to $S$. We consider $\beta(S_1,S_2)$ the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-24 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

Motivated by the problem of testing for the existence of a signal of known parametric structure and unknown ``location'' (as explained below) against a noisy background, we obtain for the maximum of a centered, smooth random field an…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-27 Yuval Nardi , David O. Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

A bivariate random vector can exhibit either asymptotic independence or dependence between the largest values of its components. When used as a statistical model for risk assessment in fields such as finance, insurance or meteorology, it is…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-29 Sebastian Engelke , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

We study the extremes of multivariate regularly varying random fields. The crucial tools in our study are the tail field and the spectral field, notions that extend the tail and spectral processes of Basrak and Segers (2009). The spatial…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-13 Lifan Wu , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. For statistical inference it is often assumed that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-25 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-07 Peter Major

For $\{X(t), t \in G_\delta\}$ a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and a.s. sample paths on a discrete grid $G_\delta=\{0,\delta,2\delta, ...\}$, where $\delta>0$, we investigate the stationary reflected process…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-30 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Grigori Jasnovidov

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

Motivated by the papers of Piterbarg (2004) and H\"{u}sler (2004), in this paper the asymptotic relation between the maximum of a continuous dependent homogeneous Gaussian random field and the maximum of this field sampled at discrete time…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-05 Zhongquan Tan , Kaiyong Wang

The exact expression for the probability density $p_{_N}(x)$ for sums of a finite number $N$ of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of $p_{_N}(x)$ has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-29 Michael I. Tribelsky

We investigate the tail asymptotics of the supremum of X(t)+Y(t)-ct, where X={X(t),t\geq 0} and Y={Y(t),t\geq 0} are two independent stochastic processes. We assume that the process Y has subexponential characteristics and that the process…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Bert Zwart , Sem Borst , Krzystof Debicki

In this paper, we compute multivariate tail risk probabilities where the marginal risks are heavy-tailed and the dependence structure is a Gaussian copula. The marginal heavy-tailed risks are modeled using regular variation which leads to a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-04-12 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We consider a Gaussian field $X = \{X_t, t \in T\}$ with values in a Banach space $B$ defined on a parametric set $T$ equal to $R^m$ or $Z^m.$ It is supposed that the distribution $\cal P$ of $X_t$ is independent of $t.$ We consider the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-23 Youri Davydov , Vigantas Paulauskas

We continue the study of the maximum of the scale-inhomogeneous discrete Gaussian free field in dimension two. In this paper, we consider the regime of weak correlations and prove the convergence in law of the centred maximum to a randomly…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-05 Maximilian Fels , Lisa Hartung