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We consider stochastic differential equation involving pathwise integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion. The estimates for the Hurst parameter are constructed according to first- and second-order quadratic variations of observed…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-28 K. Kubilius , Y. Mishura

In this study, we develop a new theory of estimating Hurst parame- ter using conic multivariate adaptive regression splines (CMARS) method. We concentrate on the strong solution of stochastic differentional equations (SDEs) driven by…

Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst parameter of solutions of stochastic differential equations are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying processes.

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-28 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov

We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

We study fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characterized by the Hurst exponent H. Using a Monte Carlo sampling technique, we are able to numerically generate fBm processes with an absorbing boundary at the origin at discrete times for a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Brownian motion is the only random process which is Gaussian, stationary and Markovian. Dropping the Markovian property, i.e. allowing for memory, one obtains a class of processes called fractional Brownian motion, indexed by the Hurst…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-07-27 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

Strongly consistent and asymptotic normal estimators of the Hurst index of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying process.

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-18 K. Kubilius , V. Skorniakov , D. Melichov

This paper introduces a general and new formalism to model the turbulent wave-front phase using fractional Brownian motion processes. Moreover, it extends results to non-Kolmogorov turbulence. In particular, generalized expressions for the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Dario G. Perez , Luciano Zunino , Mario Garavaglia

Here, we provide a unified framework for numerical analysis of stochastic nonlinear fractional diffusion equation driven by fractional Gaussian noise with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. A novel estimate of the second moment of the stochastic…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-04-29 Daxin Nie , Weihua Deng

Linear Fractional Stable Motion (LFSM) of Hurst parameter $H$ and of stability parameter $\al$, is one of the most classical extensions of the well-known Gaussian Fractional Brownian Motion (FBM), to the setting of heavy-tailed stable…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-11 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

The fractional Brownian motion with index $\alpha$ is introduced to construct the fractional excursion set model. A new mass function with single parameter $\alpha$ is derived within the formalism, of which the Press-Schechter mass function…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Jun Pan

We analyse a class of estimators of the generalized diffusion coefficient for fractional Brownian motion $B_t$ of known Hurst index $H$, based on weighted functionals of the single time square displacement. We show that for a certain choice…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Denis Boyer , David S. Dean , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio , Gleb Oshanin

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

The scaled Brownian motion (SBM) is regarded as one of the paradigmatic random processes, featuring the anomalous diffusion property characterized by the diffusion exponent. It is a Gaussian, self-similar process with independent…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-29 Hubert Woszczek , Aleksei Chechkin , Agnieszka Wylomanska

Turbulence is a dominant feature operating in gaseous flows across nearly all scales in astrophysical environments. Accordingly, accurately estimating the statistical properties of such flows is necessary for developing a comprehensive…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2014-11-27 Lukas Konstandin , Rahul Shetty , Philipp Girichidis , Ralf S. Klessen

Stochastic models with fractional Brownian motion as source of randomness have become popular since the early 2000s. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a Gaussian process, whose covariance depends on the so-called Hurst parameter $H\in…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-22 Anna P. Kwossek , Andreas Neuenkirch , David J. Prömel

Consider the fractional Brownian Motion (fBM) $B^H=\{B^H(t): t \in [0,1] \}$ with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$. We construct a probability space supporting both $B^H$ and a fully simulatable process $\hat B_{\epsilon}^H $ such that $$\sup_{t\in…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-22 Yi Chen , Jing Dong , Hao Ni

We construct and study branching fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. The construction relies on a generalization of the discrete approximation of fractional Brownian motion (Hammond and Sheffield, Probability…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-24 Adrián González Casanova , Jan Lukas Igelbrink

In this presentation, we introduce a new method for change point analysis on the Hurst index for a piecewise fractional Brownian motion. We first set the model and the statistical problem. The proposed method is a transposition of the FDpV…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-23 Mehdi Fhima , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre R. Bertrand