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We consider the exactly solvable model of exponential directed last passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ in the large deviation regime. Conditional on the upper tail large deviation event $\mathcal{U}_{\delta}:=\{T_{n}\geq (4+\delta)n\}$…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-26 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly

An asymptotic model for extreme behavior of certain Markov chains is the "tail chain". Generally taking the form of a multiplicative random walk, it is useful in deriving extremal characteristics such as point process limits. We place this…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-30 Sidney I. Resnick , David Zeber

Random matrices acting on structured sets play a fundamental role in high-dimensional geometry, compressed sensing, and randomized algorithms. Existing results primarily focus on subgaussian models, when random matrices act as…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-11 Tiankun Diao , Xuanang Hu , Vladimir V. Ulyanov , Hanchao Wang

Gradient clipping is a commonly used technique to stabilize the training process of neural networks. A growing body of studies has shown that gradient clipping is a promising technique for dealing with the heavy-tailed behavior that emerged…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-26 Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

We study the distribution of the outliers in the spectrum of finite rank deformations of Wigner random matrice under the assumption that the off-diagonal matrix entries have uniformly bounded fifth moment and the diagonal entries have…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-19 Alessandro Pizzo , David Renfrew , Alexander Soshnikov

We consider an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices with edge probability $p$ such that \[ \sqrt{\frac{\log n}{\log \log n}} \ll np \le n^{1/2-o(1)}, \label{eq:abs} \tag{$\dagger$} \] and derive the upper tail large…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-08 Anirban Basak

In this paper, we provide novel tail bounds on the optimization error of Stochastic Mirror Descent for convex and Lipschitz objectives. Our analysis extends the existing tail bounds from the classical light-tailed Sub-Gaussian noise case to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Khaled Eldowa , Andrea Paudice

We study two one-parameter families of point processes connected to random matrices: the Sine_beta and Sch_tau processes. The first one is the bulk point process limit for the Gaussian beta-ensemble. For beta=1, 2 and 4 it gives the limit…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-19 Diane Holcomb , Benedek Valkó

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) offer an elegant tool for encoding probabilities over subsets of a ground set. Discrete DPPs are parametrized by a positive semidefinite matrix (called the DPP kernel), and estimating this kernel is key…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-10-12 Zelda Mariet , Suvrit Sra

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

We study the statistics of the largest eigenvalue lambda_max of N x N random matrices with unit variance, but power-law distributed entries, P(M_{ij})~ |M_{ij}|^{-1-mu}. When mu > 4, lambda_max converges to 2 with Tracy-Widom fluctuations…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Giulio Biroli , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

In this article we focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the subcritical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N_{+}}}$, under the condition that one of the offspring $\xi$ or immigration $\eta$ is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-08 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The singular values of a product of $M$ independent Ginibre matrices of size $N\times N$ form a determinantal point process. Near the soft edge, as both $M$ and $N$ go to infinity in such a way that $M/N\to \alpha$, $\alpha>0$, a scaling…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-21 Sergey Berezin , Eugene Strahov

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-30 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski

This paper introduces novel frameworks for large deviations and metastability analysis in heavy-tailed stochastic dynamical systems. We develop and apply these frameworks within the context of stochastic difference equation $X^\eta_{j+1}(x)…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-12 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) are a family of probabilistic models that have a repulsive behavior, and lend themselves naturally to many tasks in machine learning where returning a diverse set of objects is important. While there are…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-03 John Urschel , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet

The directed preferential attachment model is revisited. A new exact characterization of the limiting in- and out-degree distribution is given by two \emph{independent} pure birth processes that are observed at a common exponentially…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-08 Tom Britton