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We prove nonasymptotic matrix concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of (sub)gaussian random matrices with centered independent entries that capture fluctuations at the Tracy-Widom scale. This considerably improves previous bounds…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-21 Tatiana Brailovskaya , Ramon van Handel

The top eigenvalues of rank $r$ spiked real Wishart matrices and additively perturbed Gaussian orthogonal ensembles are known to exhibit a phase transition in the large size limit. We show that they have limiting distributions for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-28 Alex Bloemendal , Bálint Virág

Kuiper's statistic is a good measure for the difference of ideal distribution and empirical distribution in the goodness-of-fit test. However, it is a challenging problem to solve the critical value and upper tail quantile, or simply Kuiper…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Hong-Yan Zhang , Wei Sun , Xiao Chen , Rui-Jia Lin , Yu Zhou

We compute the stationary in-degree probability, $P_{in}(k)$, for a growing network model with directed edges and arbitrary out-degree probability. In particular, under preferential linking, we find that if the nodes have a light tail…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-10-21 Daniel Fraiman

We study the complexity of sampling from a distribution over all index subsets of the set $\{1,...,n\}$ with the probability of a subset $S$ proportional to the determinant of the submatrix $\mathbf{L}_S$ of some $n\times n$ p.s.d. matrix…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-10 Michał Dereziński , Daniele Calandriello , Michal Valko

We present an algorithm based on posterior sampling (aka Thompson sampling) that achieves near-optimal worst-case regret bounds when the underlying Markov Decision Process (MDP) is communicating with a finite, though unknown, diameter. Our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-01 Shipra Agrawal , Randy Jia

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

We establish maximal concentration bounds for the iterates generated by stochastic approximation algorithms with general step sizes, where the noise has a finite-state Markovian component plus a Martingale-difference component. When the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-21 Shubhada Agrawal , Siva Theja Maguluri , Martin Zubeldia

We study cluster sizes in supercritical $d$-dimensional inhomogeneous percolation models with long-range edges -- such as long-range percolation -- and/or heavy-tailed degree distributions -- such as geometric inhomogeneous random graphs…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-12 Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy , Dieter Mitsche

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Let $N$ be the number of triangles in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices with edge density $p=d/n,$ where $d>0$ is a fixed constant. It is well known that $N$ weakly converges to the Poisson distribution with mean…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-15 Shirshendu Ganguly , Ella Hiesmayr , Kyeongsik Nam

This work prepares new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, Hermitian tensors. These probability bounds characterize large-deviation behavior of the extreme eigenvalue of the sums of random tensors. We extend Lapalace…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-01 Shih Yu Chang

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of supercritical branching Markov processes $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$ whose spatial motions are L\'evy processes with regularly varying tails. Recently, Ren et al. [Appl. Probab. 61…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-01 Runjia Luo , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Rui Zhang

This paper presents an improved exponential tail bound for Beta distributions, refining a result in [15]. This improvement is achieved by interpreting their bound as a regular Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence one, while introducing a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Pierre Perrault

We consider extremal processes and random walks generated by heavy-tailed random vectors taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ endowed with the $\ell_p$ metric. We establish limit theorems for the associated paths in the triangular array setting…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Bochen Jin , Ilya Molchanov

We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-12 Thomas Krak , Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

We consider the maximum entropy Markov chain inference approach to characterize the collective statistics of neuronal spike trains, focusing on the statistical properties of the inferred model. We review large deviations techniques useful…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2018-08-15 Rodrigo Cofre , Cesar Maldonado , Fernando Rosas

We consider random Schr\"odinger operators of the form $\Delta+\xi$, where $\Delta$ is the lattice Laplacian on $\mathbb Z^d$ and $\xi$ is an i.i.d. random field, and study the extreme order statistics of the eigenvalues for this operator…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-13 Marek Biskup , Wolfgang Koenig

We study the tail behavior of regret in stochastic multi-armed bandits for algorithms that are asymptotically optimal in expectation. While minimizing expected regret is the classical objective, recent work shows that even such algorithms…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-17 Subhodip Panda , Shubhada Agrawal