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Let $X_{t}$ denote a stationary first-order autoregressive process. Consider five contiguous observations (in time $t$) of the series (e.g., $X_{1}, ..., X_{5}$). Let $M$ denote the maximum of these. Let $\rho$ be the lag-one serial…

历史与综述 · 数学 2019-08-13 Steven Finch

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

In recent work, Fyodorov and Keating conjectured the maximum size of $|\zeta(1/2+it)|$ in a typical interval of length O(1) on the critical line. They did this by modelling the zeta function by the characteristic polynomial of a random…

数论 · 数学 2013-04-03 Adam J. Harper

The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…

逻辑 · 数学 2015-04-16 Ron Peretz

We consider a model of the Riemann zeta function on the critical axis and study its maximum over intervals of length $(\log T)^{\theta}$, where $\theta$ is either fixed or tends to zero at a suitable rate. It is shown that the deterministic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-26 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Guillaume Dubach , Lisa Hartung

Consider a $\Lambda$-coalescent that comes down from infinity (meaning that it starts from a configuration containing infinitely many blocks at time 0, yet it has a finite number $N_t$ of blocks at any positive time $t>0$). We exhibit a…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-23 Julien Berestycki , Nathanaël Berestycki , Vlada Limic

This article investigates the phenomenon of maximal rigidity in spatial processes, where perfect interpolation of the process is possible from partial information, specifically, from its restriction to a strict subdomain, often resulting in…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-12 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey

Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots$ be independent, identically distributed random variables with infinite mean $\mathbf E[|\xi_1|]=\infty.$ Consider a random walk $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$, a stopping time $\tau=\min\{n\ge 1: S_n\le 0\}$ and let…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Denis Denisov

We conjecture the true rate of growth of the maximum size of the Riemann zeta function and other $L$-functions. We support our conjecture using arguments from random matrix theory, conjectures for moments of $L$-functions, and also by…

数论 · 数学 2007-05-23 David W. Farmer , S. M. Gonek , C. P. Hughes

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

We show that if $u$ solves the fractional parabolic equation $(\partial_t - \Delta )^s u = Vu$ in $B_5 \times (-25, 0]$ ($0<s<1$) such that $u(\cdot, 0) \not\equiv 0$, then the maximal vanishing order of $u$ in space-time at $(0,0)$ is…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-03-19 Agnid Banerjee , Abhishek Ghosh

Starting from an n-by-n matrix of zeros, choose uniformly random zero entries and change them to ones, one-at-a-time, until the matrix becomes invertible. We show that with probability tending to one as n tends to infinity, this occurs at…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-09 Louigi Addario-Berry , Laura Eslava

We consider local martingales which are standard or stochastic exponentials M of one component X of a multivariate affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipovic and Schachermayer (2003). By completing their characterization of…

We work in the setting of the progressive enlargement $\mathbb G$ of a reference filtration $\mathbb F$ through the observation of a random time $\tau$. We study an integral representation property for some classes of $\mathbb…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-14 Anna Aksamit , Monique Jeanblanc , Marek Rutkowski

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in the theory of stochastic processes. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for one-dimensional diffusion processes, which include the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-05 Xian Chen , Yong Chen , Mumien Cheng , Chen Jia

Consider $\mathbb{G}$ the progressive enlargement of a filtration $\mathbb{F}$ with a random time $\tau$. Assuming that, in $\mathbb{F}$, the martingale representation property holds, we examine conditions under which the martingale…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-18 M. Jeanblanc , S. Song

Chen, Fitzsimmons, Kuwae and Zhang (Ann. Probab. 36 (2008) 931-970) have established an Ito formula consisting in the development of F(u(X)) for a symmetric Markov process X, a function u in the Dirichlet space of X and any…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Alexander Walsh

We derive the explicit form of the martingale representation for square-integrable processes that are martingales with respect to the natural filtration of the super-Brownian motion. This is done by using a weak extension of the Dupire…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-29 Christian Mandler , Ludger Overbeck

We study moments of characteristic polynomials of truncated Haar distributed matrices from the three classical compact groups O(N), U(N) and Sp(2N). For finite matrix size we calculate the moments in terms of hypergeometric functions of…

数学物理 · 物理学 2021-11-16 Alexander Serebryakov , Nick Simm , Guillaume Dubach

We report on the detection of very stable modulations with periods unexpectedly (~0.5%) longer than superhump periods during the slowly fading stage of WZ Sge-type superoutbursts in three systems, GW Lib, V455 And and WZ Sge. These periods…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Taichi Kato , Hiroyuki Maehara , Berto Monard