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A Golomb ruler is a sequence of integers whose pairwise differences, or equivalently pairwise sums, are all distinct. This definition has been generalized in various ways to allow for sums of h integers, or to allow up to g repetitions of a…

组合数学 · 数学 2023-08-23 Tristram Bogart , Daniel Felipe Cuéllar

The only acceptable form of polling in the multi-billion dollar survey research field utilizes representative samples. We argue that with proper statistical adjustment, non-representative polling can provide accurate predictions, and often…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-07-01 David Rothschild , Sharad Goel , Andrew Gelman , Doug Rivers

Voting power determines the "power" of individuals who cast votes; their power is based on their ability to influence the winning-ness of a coalition. Usually each individual acts alone, casting either all or none of their votes and is…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-12-13 Daniel Zwillinger

Matching is an important tool in causal inference. The method provides a conceptually straightforward way to make groups of units comparable on observed characteristics. The use of the method is, however, limited to situations where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Fredrik Sävje , Michael J. Higgins , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2008-06-26 Marcus Hutter

We here discuss the outcome of an hypothetic experiments of populations dynamics, where a set of independent realizations is made available. The importance of ensemble average is clarified with reference to the registered time evolution of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-10-31 Timoteo Carletti , Duccio Fanelli

We build simple models for the distribution of voting patterns in a group, using the Supreme Court of the United States as an example. The least structured, or maximum entropy, model that is consistent with the observed pairwise…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-30 Edward D. Lee , Chase P. Broedersz , William Bialek

This paper introduces a generalization of the so-called space-fractional Poisson process by extending the difference operator acting on state space present in the associated difference-differential equations to a much more general form. It…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-15 Federico Polito , Enrico Scalas

Let $f:\mathbb{R}^k\to \mathbb{R}$ be a measurable function, and let $\{U_i\}_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables. Consider the random process $Z_i=f(U_{i},...,U_{i+k-1})$. We show that for all $\ell$, there is a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-10 Noga Alon , Ohad N. Feldheim

In recent years, opinion dynamics has received an increasing attention, and various models have been introduced and evaluated mainly by simulation. In this study, we introduce and study a dynamical model inspired by the so-called `bounded…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-11-07 Sergei Yu. Pilyugin , M. C. Campi

The attribution problem, that is the problem of attributing a model's prediction to its base features, is well-studied. We extend the notion of attribution to also apply to feature interactions. The Shapley value is a commonly used method…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-02-11 Kedar Dhamdhere , Ashish Agarwal , Mukund Sundararajan

To make a joint decision, agents (or voters) are often required to provide their preferences as linear orders. To determine a winner, the given linear orders can be aggregated according to a voting protocol. However, in realistic settings,…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2010-05-03 Nadja Betzler , Britta Dorn

A "repeat voting" procedure is proposed, whereby voting is carried out in two identical rounds. Every voter can vote in each round, the results of the first round are made public before the second round, and the final result is determined…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-30 Sergiu Hart

Ordered pivotal sampling is one of the simplest algorithm to perform without-replacement unequal probability sampling. It has found uses in the context of longitudinal surveys and spatial sampling, and enables in particular a good spatial…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-02 Guillaume Chauvet

The voter model is a classical interacting particle system modelling how consensus is formed across a network. We analyse the time to consensus for the voter model when the underlying graph is a subcritical scale-free random graph.…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-02 John Fernley , Marcel Ortgiese

The voter model consists of a set of agents whose opinion is a binary variable. At each time step, an agent along with a social neighbor is selected and the agent imitates the social neighbor at the next time step. In this paper, we study a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-06 Hsin-Lun Li

Shapley value has recently become a popular way to explain the predictions of complex and simple machine learning models. This paper is discusses the factors that influence Shapley value. In particular, we explore the relationship between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Harsh Kumar , Jithu Chandran

We study a basic sequential model for the discovery of winning coalitions in a simple game, well known from its use in defining the Shapley-Shubik power index. We derive in a uniform way a family of measures of collective and individual…

组合数学 · 数学 2013-07-30 Geoffrey Pritchard , Reyhaneh Reyhani , Mark C. Wilson

In an election in which each voter ranks all of the candidates, we consider the head-to-head results between each pair of candidates and form a labeled directed graph, called the margin graph, which contains the margin of victory of each…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-09-08 Matthew Harrison-Trainor

Different statistical samples (e.g., from different locations) offer populations and learning systems observations with distinct statistical properties. Samples under (1) 'Unconfounded' growth preserve systems' ability to determine the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Andre F. Ribeiro