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Decision procedures aggregating the preferences of multiple agents can produce cycles and hence outcomes which have been described heuristically as `chaotic'. We make this description precise by constructing an explicit dynamical system…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 David A. Meyer , Thad A. Brown

The voter model is a simple agent-based model to mimic opinion dynamics in social networks: a randomly chosen agent adopts the opinion of a randomly chosen neighbour. This process is repeated until a consensus emerges. Although the basic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-06-06 Michael T. Gastner , Beáta Oborny , Máté Gulyás

We introduce time variation in the flip-rates of the Voter Model. This type of generalisation is relevant to models of ageing in language change, allowing the representation of changes in speakers' learning rates over their lifetime and may…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-27 G. J. Baxter

We study an index to measure the popularity of artists in music streaming platforms. This index, which can be used to allocate the amount raised via paid subscriptions among participating artists, is based on the Shapley value, a…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-30 Gustavo Bergantiños , Juan D. Moreno-Ternero

We study a model of electoral accountability and selection whereby heterogeneous voters aggregate incumbent politician's performance data into personalized signals through paying limited attention. Extreme voters' signals exhibit an…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-05 Anqi Li , Lin Hu

The Shapley-Folkman theorem shows that Minkowski averages of uniformly bounded sets tend to be convex when the number of terms in the sum becomes much larger than the ambient dimension. In optimization, Aubin and Ekeland [1976] show that…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-07-02 Thomas Kerdreux , Igor Colin , Alexandre d'Aspremont

We consider a two-round election model involving $m$ voters and $n$ candidates. Each voter is endowed with a strict preference list ranking the candidates. In the first round, the candidates are partitioned into two subsets, $A$ and $B$,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Emilio De Santis , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Verdiana Mustaro

We introduce a variable importance measure to quantify the impact of individual input variables to a black box function. Our measure is based on the Shapley value from cooperative game theory. Many measures of variable importance operate by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-05 Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen , Benjamin Seiler

We analyze the scaled voter model, which is a generalization of the noisy voter model with time-dependent herding behavior. We consider the case when the intensity of herding behavior grows as a power-law function of time. In this case, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-02-14 Rytis Kazakevičius , Aleksejus Kononovicius

Aggregation patterns are often visually detected in sets of location data. These clusters may be the result of interesting dynamics or the effect of pure randomness. We build an asymptotically Gaussian test for the hypothesis of randomness…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-09 Gabriel Lang , Eric Marcon

We study a model of consensus decision making, in which a finite group of Bayesian agents has to choose between one of two courses of action. Each member of the group has a private and independent signal at his or her disposal, giving some…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Omer Tamuz

The spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot (SLFV) process (Barton, Etheridge and V\'eber, 2010) can be seen as a generalised Voter Model with configuration space $M^{R^d}$, where M is the set of probability measures on some space K. Such processes are…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-28 Habib Saadi

Voters from m disjoint constituencies (regions, federal states, etc.) are represented in an assembly which contains one delegate from each constituency and applies a weighted voting rule. All agents are assumed to have single-peaked…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-11-28 Sascha Kurz , Nicola Maaser , Stefan Napel

Modeling the evolution of a financial index as a stochastic process is a problem awaiting a full, satisfactory solution since it was first formulated by Bachelier in 1900. Here it is shown that the scaling with time of the return…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

Scores based on Shapley values are widely used for providing explanations to classification results over machine learning models. A prime example of this is the influential SHAP-score, a version of the Shapley value that can help explain…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-04-06 Marcelo Arenas , Pablo Barceló Leopoldo Bertossi , Mikaël Monet

For centuries, it has been widely believed that the influence of a small coalition of voters is negligible in a large election. Consequently, there is a large body of literature on characterizing the likelihood for an election to be…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-13 Lirong Xia

Motivated by the problem of utility allocation in a portfolio under a Markowitz mean-variance choice paradigm, we propose an allocation criterion for the variance of the sum of $n$ possibly dependent random variables. This criterion, the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-04-04 Riccardo Colini-Baldeschi , Marco Scarsini , Stefano Vaccari

We introduce a simple dynamic model of opinion formation, in which a finite population of individuals hold vector-valued opinions. At each time step, each individual's opinion moves towards the mean opinion but is then perturbed…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-27 Edward Crane , Stanislav Volkov

We study the Fadell-Husseini index of the configuration space F(R^d,n) with respect to different subgroups of the symmetric group S_n. For p prime and d>0, we completely determine Index_{Z/p}(F(R^d,p);F_p) and partially describe…

代数拓扑 · 数学 2017-05-17 Pavle V. M. Blagojević , Wolfgang Lück , Günter M. Ziegler

In the voter model, vertices of a graph (interpreted as voters) adopt one out of two opinions (0 and 1), and update their opinions at random times by copying the opinion of a neighbor chosen uniformly at random. This process is dual to a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-25 Jhon Astoquillca