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Long memory or long range dependency is an important phenomenon that may arise in the analysis of time series or spatial data. Most of the definitions of long memory of a stationary process $X=\{X_1, X_2,\cdots,\}$ are based on the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-20 Yiming Ding , Xuyan Xiang

Renewal processes are broadly used to model stochastic behavior consisting of isolated events separated by periods of quiescence, whose durations are specified by a given probability law. Here, we identify the minimal sufficient statistic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Sarah Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

Stochastic chains represent a wide and key variety of phenomena in many branches of science within the context of Information Theory and Thermodynamics. They are typically approached by a sequence of independent events or by a memoryless…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-06 J. Ricardo Arias-Gonzalez

A quantity of interest to characterise continuous-valued stochastic processes is the differential entropy rate. The rate of convergence of many properties of LRD processes is slower than might be expected, based on the intuition for…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

Understanding temporal processes and their correlations in time is of paramount importance for the development of near-term technologies that operate under realistic conditions. Capturing the complete multi-time statistics defining a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-04-28 Philip Taranto

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

For the London Stock Exchange we demonstrate that the signs of orders obey a long-memory process. The autocorrelation function decays roughly as $\tau^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha \approx 0.6$, corresponding to a Hurst exponent $H \approx 0.7$.…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , J. Doyne Farmer

Non-Markovian quantum processes exhibit different memory effects when measured in different ways; an unambiguous characterization of memory length requires accounting for the sequence of instruments applied to probe the system dynamics.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-04-11 Philip Taranto , Simon Milz , Felix A. Pollock , Kavan Modi

Fractal behavior and long-range dependence have been observed in an astonishing number of physical systems. Either phenomenon has been modeled by self-similar random functions, thereby implying a linear relationship between fractal…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Tilmann Gneiting , Martin Schlather

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-02 Vygintas Gontis

In this article, we aim to further clarify certain subtle aspects of processes that exhibit long memory in the second-order sense. We construct a long-memory stochastic sequence, in the sense that the series of absolute autocovariances…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-20 Valentin Vidril

We focus on emergence of the power-law cross-correlations from processes with both short and long term memory properties. In the case of correlated error-terms, the power-law decay of the cross-correlation function comes automatically with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Ladislav Kristoufek

The characterisation of information processing is an important task in complex systems science. Information dynamics is a quantitative methodology for modelling the intrinsic information processing conducted by a process represented as a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-08-01 Richard E. Spinney , Joseph T. Lizier

Recent empirical studies have demonstrated long-memory in the signs of orders to buy or sell in financial markets [2, 19]. We show how this can be caused by delays in market clearing. Under the common practice of order splitting, large…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 F. Lillo , Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

Information theoretic measures (entropies, entropy rates, mutual information) are nowadays commonly used in statistical signal processing for real-world data analysis. The present work proposes the use of Auto Mutual Information (Mutual…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-07-24 C Granero-Belinchón , S. Roux , P. Abry , N. Garnier

Contemporaneous aggregation of individual AR(1) random processes might lead to different properties of the limit aggregated time series, in particular, long memory (Granger, 1980). We provide a new characterization of the series of…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-11 Bernard Candelpergher , Michel Miniconi , Florian Pelgrin

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

Many natural and physical processes display long memory and extreme events. In these systems, the measured time series is invariably contaminated by noise. As the extreme events display large deviation from the mean behaviour, the noise…

元胞自动机与格子气 · 物理学 2021-11-23 Dayal Singh , M. S. Santhanam

Loosely speaking, the Shannon entropy rate is used to gauge a stochastic process' intrinsic randomness; the statistical complexity gives the cost of predicting the process. We calculate, for the first time, the entropy rate and statistical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-09-13 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

The orientational memory of particles can serve as an effective measure of diffusivity, spreading, and search efficiency in complex stochastic processes. We develop a theoretical framework to describe the decay of directional correlations…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2022-09-05 Zeinab Sadjadi , M. Reza Shaebani
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