English

Long-range memory test by the burst and inter-burst duration distribution

Statistical Finance 2020-10-02 v2

Abstract

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying values of the Hurst exponent. We propose the burst and inter-burst duration statistical analysis as one more test of long-range memory and implement it with the limit order book data comparing it with other widely used estimators. This method gives a more reliable evaluation of the Hurst exponent independent of the stock in consideration or time definition used. Results strengthen the expectation that burst and inter-burst duration analysis can serve as a better method to investigate the property of long-range memory.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2006.00596,
  title  = {Long-range memory test by the burst and inter-burst duration distribution},
  author = {Vygintas Gontis},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.00596},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

18 pages, 8 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T15:56:45.597Z